TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd934…a00a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
344
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST15347.7%73 W · 80 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 153 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.05
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$41.9
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+144.6%+$50.47
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$129.72
Wizards vs. Clippersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+376.2%+$52.67
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30.5
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+121.2%+$27.4
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$15.56
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+373.8%+$74.76
Wizards vs. Sunsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 153 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST4953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.7%+$46.6
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.2
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+90.3%+$134.84
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$139.43
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.83
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$28.8
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+52.3%+$20.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.21
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$241.9
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2552%13 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28.51
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+90.7%+$61.7
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lightning vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Bruins vs. Oilersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Flyers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Canadiens vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
AHL: Rochester Americans vs. Cleveland Monstersbacked Rochester Americans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+86.4%+$23.18
Bruins vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+90.5%+$38
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+55.6%+$28.6
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$29.4
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$35.24
Oilers vs. Penguinsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+30.3%+$3.34
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+43.3%+$7.16
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+39.9%+$56.95
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+56.3%+$32.4
Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.51
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+62%+$210.48
Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+150%+$36
Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$13.19
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+28.4%+$10.17
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.42
Benin vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Botswana vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+105.5%+$30.8
Botswana vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$9.92
Will Uganda vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.8
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+59.7%+$123.4
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$42.7
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+138.1%+$55.24
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Angola vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+32.4%+$18.35
All 22 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40.1
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.17
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+40.9%+$8.17
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+84.6%+$109.81
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.5
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$60.8
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Hellas Verona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$39.19
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+73.4%+$11.01
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35.78
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+119.8%+$54.5
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$9.73
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$72.98
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$112
Will Sevilla win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.3
Will Alaves win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.8%+$72.97
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+36.1%+$42.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+87.5%+$83.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$16.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.