Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15c1daf1c0876a0685a9c5adb9761728872a718334baa77f57e458ffbf26b45a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed No | 0c | 72,830$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 60c | 10,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049.97 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 8,600$5,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,127.95 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 8,443$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.51 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 40c | 7,931$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,758.66 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed No | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.98 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 5,974$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.14 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 4,731$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.84 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 60c | 4,270$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.23 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 4,141$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.44 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 60c | 4,107$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 59c | 3,191$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.42 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 15c | 3,043$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.78 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 2,834$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.06 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.99 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 41c | 2,472$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 2,359$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.92 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 2,182$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,993$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.03 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…a652backed Yes | 41c | 1,918$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,847$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.93 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 1c | 1,728$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 61c | 1,682$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.79 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…ad86backed Yes | 39c | 1,615$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…452ebacked No | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.46 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Yes | 46c | 1,458$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…021cbacked No | 2c | 1,391$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 61c | 1,250$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 72c | 1,173$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.01 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…896ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,105$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 63c | 999.94$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.96 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…068ebacked Yes | 40c | 900$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Yes | 70c | 886.49$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 41c | 850$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 848$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.46 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 59c | 828.22$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.65 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…bac1backed No | 61c | 820$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961d…953dbacked No | 61c | 810$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 60c | 799.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e2…787cbacked No | 61c | 790$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…0178backed Yes | 40c | 770$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…ca5fbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 40c | 745.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.38 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 39c | 744$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.84 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 652.91$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.25 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 44c | 650$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 40c | 625.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.41 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 73c | 622.85$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 40c | 600$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 60c | 568$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.8 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 54c | 565.78$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.28 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…6602backed Yes | 40c | 505$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 38c | 473.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.68 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 24c | 448.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…5f58backed Yes | 42c | 435.9$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 71c | 422.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 61c | 410.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.27 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed No | 61c | 389.08$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 43c | 374.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.25 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 40c | 355.09$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 39c | 336.87$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.04 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 53c | 279.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 35c | 279.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 40c | 277.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked No | 60c | 262.23$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 39c | 255.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 9c | 254$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 60c | 240$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 40c | 226.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 61c | 222$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Yes | 43c | 219.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Yes | 46c | 216.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 60c | 210$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-07?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?No won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.