TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb56b…068e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$456
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$396
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$365.7
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+138.1%+$522
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$346.5
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$397.6
Red Wings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$375.2
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$341.7
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$385
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$366
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$374
Oilers vs. Bruinsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+81.8%+$306
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$336
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$338
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$357
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$365
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,902.5
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$301
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$434
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$502.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+150%+$540
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$440
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$365.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$468.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$308.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.