Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75ee7fa618602ae26618933df3cd7dff89284867d15b2adbc7befd3aeea62f26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $406,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 21,702$9,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,730.78 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 57c | 13,946$7,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,996.71 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 55c | 13,152$7,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900.21 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 46c | 12,438$5,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,661.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 54c | 7,600$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Yes | 46c | 6,479$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 6,201$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.72 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 54c | 5,205$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 4,687$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.64 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 3,867$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.46 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…3f9bbacked Yes | 46c | 3,649$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 44c | 3,636$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…78c6backed No | 54c | 3,430$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 56c | 3,232$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee91…5ef9backed No | 54c | 3,153$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…bd58backed Yes | 46c | 2,627$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…b03cbacked No | 54c | 2,599$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa17b…2dd9backed No | 54c | 2,299$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 54c | 2,181$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 19c | 2,008$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.48 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…c554backed Yes | 46c | 1,991$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…9775backed Yes | 46c | 1,918$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…3f3bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,902$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de1…3714backed No | 54c | 1,894$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8416…0685backed Yes | 46c | 1,864$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…e3e8backed Yes | 46c | 1,863$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 44c | 1,800$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.98 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…b0b8backed No | 54c | 1,768$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…77c3backed Yes | 46c | 1,743$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…782fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,725$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…c804backed Yes | 46c | 1,720$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…185fbacked No | 54c | 1,712$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…08e5backed No | 54c | 1,672$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 58c | 1,667$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.3 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…db7cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,604$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1442…f3cbbacked No | 54c | 1,601$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c8adbacked No | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…b5d2backed No | 54c | 1,598$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d8…bfbcbacked No | 54c | 1,592$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1924…90bbbacked Yes | 46c | 1,578$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde12…a508backed Yes | 46c | 1,569$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb98…5448backed Yes | 46c | 1,528$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…a5d6backed Yes | 46c | 1,518$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…c149backed Yes | 46c | 1,513$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…c4d6backed No | 54c | 1,505$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 58cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f5…d869backed No | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…721bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,496$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa641…3047backed No | 54c | 1,487$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…6e13backed Yes | 46c | 1,484$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd4…4565backed No | 54c | 1,470$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d6…f172backed No | 54c | 1,441$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 58cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…a932backed Yes | 46c | 1,435$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5e…e57bbacked No | 54c | 1,431$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa300…6925backed No | 54c | 1,419$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b15…f1e3backed No | 54c | 1,418$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…2382backed Yes | 46c | 1,386$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3352…4b36backed Yes | 46c | 1,373$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeea…6cebbacked No | 54c | 1,361$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…7984backed Yes | 46c | 1,328$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa891…df1cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,328$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…71d2backed Yes | 46c | 1,310$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…b196backed No | 54c | 1,302$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…5d49backed Yes | 46c | 1,289$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa44…2304backed Yes | 46c | 1,266$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5601…61c1backed Yes | 46c | 1,263$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a4…da99backed No | 54c | 1,237$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…2ad3backed No | 54c | 1,229$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcc…c90cbacked No | 54c | 1,215$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 43c | 1,214$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.7 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…9449backed Yes | 46c | 1,210$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…e4f9backed No | 54c | 1,206$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…bb1dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,191$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…2efabacked Yes | 46c | 1,188$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…886dbacked No | 54c | 1,169$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…f30bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,167$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…3144backed Yes | 46c | 1,165$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…46cdbacked Yes | 46c | 1,163$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…fb07backed No | 54c | 1,155$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe737…deabbacked Yes | 46c | 1,149$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…75d2backed No | 54c | 1,142$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…1446backed No | 54c | 1,105$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…9a6abacked No | 54c | 1,102$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…962bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,102$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…4458backed No | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715e…d4d6backed No | 54c | 1,098$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…068ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,090$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…d48ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,081$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12f…194abacked No | 54c | 1,078$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f3…3784backed No | 54c | 1,070$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…4ea5backed No | 54c | 1,069$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 57c | 1,059$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.47 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb962…2ee6backed Yes | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64f…0be7backed No | 54c | 1,049$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3d…26aebacked No | 54c | 1,037$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3314…7cacbacked No | 54c | 1,037$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
- Will RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.