Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x413a3a4d81eba025340019df975472bbe19f00abe2b4a3bb04aa68417145825d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 42c | 5,723$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 60c | 5,045$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.18 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 4,377$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.98 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 4,313$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.81 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Yes | 58c | 4,134$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.98 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 71c | 2,339$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.23 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 2,318$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.86 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…0c03backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes | 58c | 1,722$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes | 67c | 1,544$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 1,518$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.67 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 70c | 1,423$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.95 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb0…03f0backed No | 1c | 1,380$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 34c | 1,274$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.23 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 1,208$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.52 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 1,190$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.89 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 70c | 1,150$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,005$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 993.06$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.14 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 76c | 820.38$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.67 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…150bbacked No | 25c | 799.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 31c | 797$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.08 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 79c | 665$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.35 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 69c | 566.61$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 29c | 550$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 70c | 499.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 59c | 450$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 71c | 429.48$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 36c | 405.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Yes | 70c | 398.57$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9e…847dbacked Yes | 53c | 351.54$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 70c | 333.57$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…8b3abacked Yes | 71c | 221.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 33c | 211.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked No | 75c | 210$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…4e19backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…28ffbacked Yes | 58c | 198.78$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…69c1backed Yes | 67c | 190$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5665…21dabacked Yes | 58c | 181.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 20c | 165.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed Yes | 31c | 160$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 19c | 155.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…968fbacked Yes | 78c | 155.13$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 68c | 147.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 33c | 146$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1f…0ec8backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 70c | 142.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 32c | 134.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 32c | 134.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 58c | 131.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…df16backed No | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 36c | 112.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 70c | 107.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 79c | 101.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…c64dbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7d…9e7abacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…1e6bbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…4f91backed Yes | 15c | 99.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +361.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 70c | 98.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd0…dec4backed No | 43c | 97.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…cf95backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9609…2236backed Yes | 31c | 92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…fd79backed Yes | 31c | 90.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 37c | 89.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…7d56backed No | 70c | 89.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 26c | 87.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Yes | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 30c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Yes | 67c | 73.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 29c | 67.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 76c | 60.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e05…566ebacked Yes | 72c | 55.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 52.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3014…4ecdbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…5898backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 67c | 47.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.