TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f7d…9e7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT4330.2%13 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+235.9%+$70.39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.72
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+147.9%+$59.89
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+46%+$6.3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+169.2%+$31.65
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.07
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.25
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$46.28
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$169.55
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$482.89
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$82.84
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$144.31
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$93.25
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$43.86
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$32.44
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$791.5
76ers vs. Thunderbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,287.21
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$727.48
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+132.6%+$753.07
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+96.2%+$846.73
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+455.6%+$173.84
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$769.25
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$747.27
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58%+$11.38
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.09
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+187.8%+$153.07
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+50%+$71.05
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+536.9%+$251.36
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+628%+$87.92
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+156.1%+$63.53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$64.19
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.14
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.9
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.62
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$107.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$29.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$378.84
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$194.97
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+33.4%+$268.07
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$658.61
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$201.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$66.96
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$167.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.8
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.