Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe975cd782188ca5750299cdc32108ac3b7a2987e3aa37162780ccd2ce176f72a

Rebuilt 24 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,037,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,037,638 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 923 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	29c	27,506$8,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,038.69	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	24c	22,687$5,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,537.75	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	5c	20,429$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.43	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	71c	17,311$12,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,994.2	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	30c	15,195$4,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,705.81	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	31c	15,074$4,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,706.22	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	19c	13,667$2,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,540.15	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	18c	11,937$2,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,093.3	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	73c	11,538$8,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,169.03	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe11e…ff89backed Yes	15c	10,190$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520.04	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	26c	9,522$2,523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,523.04	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No	68c	8,375$5,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,662.55	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a67…00f7backed No	33c	7,728$2,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,179.64	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+57%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	12c	7,553$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.42	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	63c	7,037$4,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,445.2	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	24c	6,730$1,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,582	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	13c	6,359$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.73	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	37c	6,135$2,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,244.71	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17c…20ffbacked Yes	35c	6,000$2,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,119.96	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-90%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	9c	5,721$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.55	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Yes	1c	5,199$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	5c	5,048$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	45c	5,000$2,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,269.99	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	49c	4,952$2,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,411.22	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x117f…e958backed No	67c	4,944$3,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,611.82	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f8…e95bbacked Yes	50c	4,800$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-90.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8aa…a2ccbacked Yes	22c	4,797$1,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.77	75	36%27 W · 48 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x554a…a8f7backed Yes	46c	4,780$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	8c	4,709$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.63	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6370…50a4backed Yes	71c	4,348$3,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,105.28	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-4.8wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	21c	4,293$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.63	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	27c	4,137$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.8	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	11c	4,032$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.18	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	36c	4,007$1,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,424.92	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	8c	4,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	43c	3,992$1,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,705.58	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	5c	3,992$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.59	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	62c	3,940$2,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,508.7	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x267a…f31ebacked No	63c	3,900$2,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,428.03	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	25c	3,879$963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$962.61	97	11.3%11 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	31c	3,504$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092.94	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	9c	3,500$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed No	68c	3,499$2,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.08	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	28c	3,491$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.02	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37ef…93eebacked Yes	43c	3,422$1,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,476.9	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…d100backed Yes	80c	3,350$2,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,672.48	28	50%14 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	43c	3,300$1,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,429.88	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	18c	3,265$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.43	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dd…e40cbacked Yes	14c	3,191$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.6	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Yes	77c	3,139$2,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,421.36	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	49c	3,123$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,519.62	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae2…0ddebacked Yes	35c	3,097$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.19per pick	23cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	3,074$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.7	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	27c	3,040$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.36	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	11c	3,000$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…1a31backed No	49c	2,935$1,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.29	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	55c	2,930$1,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,597.77	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	2,914$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.77	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	6c	2,876$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.19	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…42debacked Yes	59c	2,856$1,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,697.95	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x518d…516abacked No	50c	2,800$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	2,800$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	6c	2,792$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.71	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed No	60c	2,737$1,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,098.65	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	51c	2,645$1,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,351.79	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	27c	2,631$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.25	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	25c	2,605$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.29	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	62c	2,593$1,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$987.59	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	23c	2,591$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.2	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fb…3d55backed Yes	35c	2,566$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.23	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	10c	2,537$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.05	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	7c	2,359$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.45	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb9…6f7abacked No	80c	2,356$1,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.91	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	27c	2,337$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.86	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5340…76f9backed No	32c	2,333$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,587.92	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1137…978dbacked Yes	30c	2,321$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.54	100	32%32 W · 68 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0c…f55fbacked Yes	13c	2,318$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.4	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes	16c	2,275$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.52	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	46c	2,272$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.62	179	17.9%32 W · 147 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	38c	2,231$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.9	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf22f…7714backed Yes	9c	2,222$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e6…b538backed Yes	14c	2,206$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.97	90	22.2%20 W · 70 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes	42c	2,186$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.08	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	47c	2,183$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.08	195	50.3%98 W · 97 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9057…c12cbacked Yes	1c	2,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	124	24.2%30 W · 94 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1669…bf28backed No	65c	2,100$1,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.84	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	39c	2,035$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,236.29	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	33c	2,034$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	11c	2,032$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5190…6c17backed Yes	13c	2,000$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf767…ebb1backed Yes	1c	2,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7273…ee98backed No	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	13c	2,000$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5c…3748backed No	72c	1,937$1,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.73	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes	2c	1,910$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.9	89	16.9%15 W · 74 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8aa…5c9ebacked Yes	16c	1,887$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf640…bc3ebacked Yes	26c	1,887$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	15c	1,846$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event