Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a0317189d04b35c0607ccf0dc926e620dfda297d4e80c35e909b91f28205d96

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,858,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,858,941 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 625 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x274c…4824backed Yes	0c	391,482$1,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,647.8	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	80,046$1,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,982.54	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	76,917$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.92	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	8c	67,289$5,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,467.13	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	10c	30,103$2,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,951.48	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	1c	19,766$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.35	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	19,500$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.62	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	27c	17,602$4,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,828.05	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	8c	16,395$1,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,334.56	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	50c	14,864$7,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,498.65	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	14,547$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.89	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe11e…ff89backed Yes	11c	14,248$1,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498.94	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d9…be50backed Yes	0c	12,440$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	8c	12,339$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.32	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes	1c	11,657$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.34	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	8c	11,126$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.51	97	11.3%11 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	2c	10,927$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.13	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8803…eb1dbacked No	63c	10,600$6,684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,916.4	10	60%6 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	4c	10,590$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	15c	10,487$1,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,562.52	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5922…bf1cbacked No	76c	10,482$7,987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,494.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	11c	10,389$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.82	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	3c	10,372$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.66	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	6c	10,358$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da6…533ebacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82bc…7a78backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc509…c6afbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	21c	9,626$2,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,035.76	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bb…9107backed Yes	0c	9,276$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	110	14.5%16 W · 94 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33cc…1dc5backed Yes	0c	9,158$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.77	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	24c	9,005$2,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,194.38	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	16c	9,003$1,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,431.83	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	6c	8,701$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.33	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	4c	8,328$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	2c	7,532$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.34	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	14c	7,468$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,059.13	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5357…a8f8backed Yes	1c	7,327$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.09	144	13.2%19 W · 125 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	6c	7,258$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.68	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	2c	7,021$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.52	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	80c	6,326$5,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,292.71	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	6,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	15c	5,930$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.41	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf25e…f9c0backed Yes	2c	5,831$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.38	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c57…010dbacked Yes	18c	5,600$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.44	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	8c	5,548$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.94	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	7c	5,541$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.74	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	10c	5,472$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.71	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e6…b538backed Yes	13c	5,342$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.75	90	22.2%20 W · 70 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	22c	5,300$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,179.85	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	3c	5,050$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.68	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x05aa…e3c3backed Yes	0c	5,004$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.83	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	+201.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	1c	5,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	5c	4,984$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.53	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	26c	4,862$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.46	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	12c	4,829$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.88	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe739…eeb5backed Yes	2c	4,757$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.56	133	17.3%23 W · 110 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	20c	4,721$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.98	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dd…e40cbacked Yes	9c	4,717$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.59	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	5c	4,702$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.42	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	10c	4,500$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	10c	4,356$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.68	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	4,285$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	6c	4,038$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.28	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	20c	4,011$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.59	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	4c	4,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	7c	3,995$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.55	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0228…a700backed Yes	13c	3,846$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03bd…49f8backed Yes	12c	3,843$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	8cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	19c	3,774$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.13	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	3,748$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.85	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	9c	3,692$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.05	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	12c	3,642$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.18	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8974…bedebacked Yes	20c	3,250$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.25	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+42%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x918a…aa22backed Yes	4c	3,230$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.29	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	69c	3,213$2,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.39	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb29…ea70backed Yes	1c	3,151$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	50	6%3 W · 47 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	4c	3,028$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee4…9d92backed Yes	2c	3,007$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.34	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	7c	3,000$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.5	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	17c	3,000$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.61	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	11c	3,000$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.94	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa455…3ef0backed Yes	17c	2,938$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.06	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+83.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	28c	2,820$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.44	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	7c	2,700$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.28	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	8c	2,619$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.56	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes	4c	2,616$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	10c	2,539$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.49	147	15%22 W · 125 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x723e…616bbacked Yes	9c	2,537$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37ef…93eebacked Yes	17c	2,525$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.42	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7094…2c4dbacked Yes	12c	2,497$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.18	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	20c	2,432$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.01	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f1…167ebacked Yes	1c	2,418$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.66	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x841a…cd4abacked Yes	68c	2,346$1,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,602.24	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	29c	2,332$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.98	177	17.5%31 W · 146 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4132…1a31backed No	52c	2,328$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,128.39	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0c…f55fbacked Yes	15c	2,318$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.11	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Yes	53c	2,250$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.26	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes	11c	2,234$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event