Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfea4f0b45b24d9d8ce4adb827230b1eced42106363a96a5339b289093e441201

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $308,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,880 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	50,865$1,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,426.08	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	15,976$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,372	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	0c	14,262$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	9c	13,078$1,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,184.06	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	0c	12,815$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.66	147	15%22 W · 125 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	1c	10,500$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe11e…ff89backed Yes	13c	10,200$1,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,305.87	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	10,062$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.84	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a62…e3e5backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	4c	8,618$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.41	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee4…9d92backed Yes	1c	8,234$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.64	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	11c	6,893$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.19	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf97…41cabacked Yes	0c	6,118$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	5,564$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.69	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	13c	5,518$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.01	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	8c	5,359$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.77	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	5,334$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.01	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	5,200$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes	5c	4,905$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.91	79	7.6%6 W · 73 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	4,648$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.75	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	2c	4,509$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.46	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	4,439$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.2	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2390…1d10backed Yes	19c	4,351$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$823	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	15c	4,092$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.44	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	1c	4,067$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.31	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	3c	3,959$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	13c	3,957$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.24	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	3,700$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f1…af59backed Yes	2c	3,489$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.52	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-88.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	1c	3,482$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.13	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	10c	3,480$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	6c	3,381$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.82	97	11.3%11 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	3c	3,254$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	8c	3,117$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.97	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	2,881$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.53	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	7c	2,867$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.56	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	4c	2,794$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.69	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	2,738$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.7	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	9c	2,701$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.02	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	2,438$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.21	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	8c	2,419$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	20c	2,398$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.93	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	2c	2,382$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	4c	2,361$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.99	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0c…f55fbacked Yes	2c	2,318$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.72	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab6…75b5backed Yes	13c	2,295$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.2	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd79a…9167backed Yes	4c	2,259$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.36	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22f…7714backed Yes	5c	2,209$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	8c	2,203$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.31	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	8c	2,182$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.85	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf1…6595backed Yes	18c	2,081$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.07	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+4.4wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+81.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	2c	2,050$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…dfbdbacked Yes	1c	2,013$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	11c	2,000$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.59	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	16c	1,900$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969c…1039backed Yes	12c	1,864$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	40	15%6 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5047backed Yes	1c	1,777$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.47	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+58%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4288…00e8backed Yes	3c	1,688$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.86	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	1,584$1,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.73	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2357…b74dbacked Yes	9c	1,581$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9e…80aabacked Yes	1c	1,566$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes	3c	1,564$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.05	102	7.8%8 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e50…98f0backed Yes	4c	1,550$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	330	27.9%92 W · 238 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…f604backed Yes	3c	1,502$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d1…105ebacked Yes	7c	1,473$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71b0…dddfbacked Yes	9c	1,468$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	10c	1,455$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	1,450$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.26	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	16c	1,446$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.55	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	3c	1,396$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.49	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	6c	1,383$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.36	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,363$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.92	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	6c	1,308$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.96	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c4b…ee55backed Yes	14c	1,300$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	5c	1,259$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.43	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	1,222$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x859a…f863backed Yes	1c	1,222$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2959…bdf1backed Yes	11c	1,222$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.76	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e22…3061backed Yes	2c	1,218$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.37	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	2c	1,200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0228…a700backed Yes	9c	1,168$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d54…3e28backed Yes	1c	1,131$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c3d…8d58backed Yes	15c	1,100$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8585…cbf4backed Yes	9c	1,100$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.22	120	9.2%11 W · 109 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b6…0203backed Yes	8c	1,071$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.74	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	19c	1,043$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	14c	1,006$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.05	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	16c	1,006$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.01	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	1,000$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.4	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	2c	1,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	6c	1,000$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.88	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf516…1ea1backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8988…1559backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b6…9ff5backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	84	20.2%17 W · 67 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	999.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	8c	994.43$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.55	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event