TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x037b…47f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
611
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Movies at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT4165.3%22 W · 394 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+158.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 416 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.86
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.08
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+1,002.1%+$200.43
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.44
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+9,900%+$2,970
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.08
Showing 25 of 416 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST358.6%3 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-70.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 59°F or higher on December 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on November 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+193.8%+$387.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 46°F or higher on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$314.77
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+91.8%+$660.7
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on November 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on November 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be 52°F or higher on November 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 57°F or higher on November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 46°F or below on November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in London be 62°F or higher on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$57.9
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+117.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.9
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+6,566.7%+$2,626.67
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$7.17
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+506.6%+$202.65
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Iran strike Israel on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT240%0 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$213.8
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.87
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23.67
Will Shedeur Sanders be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$212
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 24 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST200%0 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$676.55
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$27.41
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$79.02
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$46.44
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$103.15
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$97.58
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$26.34
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$122.92
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$206.31
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$165.11
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$127.36
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$491.55
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$155.96
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$33
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$81
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+63.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Galions vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Galions vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Gumayusi (Lee Min-hyeong) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+733.3%+$2,639.97
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+465.8%+$2,110.2
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$411.63
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$317.65
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$400
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+420.4%+$2,491.19
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.81
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$870
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$383.25
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-71.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$79.92
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$294.81
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$867.08
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$718.33
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$239.99
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$82.06
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,990Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+358.9%+$10,731.37
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$3,352.87
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $800M and $1B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$94.5
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,260
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$590
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$190
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$94.74
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,852Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+172.4%+$3,193.2
Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+408.4%+$2,785.08
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+504.3%+$5,682.51
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$338.22
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$809.5
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$34.03
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.88
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,404.47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,012.43
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+900%+$900
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$176.92
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$622.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick11cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+300%+$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.