Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bc922173daf67c5a1e8f35e0ef98eb0ebdf9e18b9c78cad6dff4807fa3214f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x593e…8cc6backed Yes | 74c | 12,505$9,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,293.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Yes | 2c | 10,242$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…d9c1backed No | 25c | 7,829$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,872.09 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.8wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…c0a5backed Yes | 2c | 1,550$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed Yes | 4c | 1,232$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…1131backed Yes | 30c | 1,167$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.89 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +15.2wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +83%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 75c | 852.57$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.86 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…e972backed Yes | 44c | 734.05$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…bcfdbacked Yes | 65c | 728.64$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.78 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 666.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…a8f6backed Yes | 9c | 654.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 18c | 567.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 60c | 536.68$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.47 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed Yes | 18c | 481.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…5758backed Yes | 9c | 457.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b0…1f9abacked Yes | 46c | 450.01$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.36 | 275 | 34.2%94 W · 181 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 444.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc107…0137backed No | 25c | 436.3$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.23 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…3ed5backed No | 78c | 418.1$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 46c | 398.04$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…d13abacked Yes | 3c | 335$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 943 | 3.4%32 W · 911 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 72c | 317$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…f3a7backed Yes | 44c | 301.84$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd232…5286backed No | 56c | 299.92$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…4b2bbacked Yes | 38c | 290$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 57c | 284.84$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392d…371cbacked Yes | 30c | 277.11$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57de…cd90backed Yes | 25c | 265.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b3…2280backed Yes | 12c | 246.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 6c | 246$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 13c | 229.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…464cbacked No | 61c | 213.94$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed Yes | 49c | 204.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 7c | 201.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f8…f8d5backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 545 | 29.5%161 W · 384 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Yes | 7c | 197.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 207 | 28%58 W · 149 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 6c | 172.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09e…d1f2backed No | 32c | 165$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…9472backed Yes | 60c | 158.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…5d7dbacked Yes | 44c | 157$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…87a9backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 464 | 23.5%109 W · 355 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…dedebacked No | 56c | 148$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Yes | 9c | 147.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…ba00backed Yes | 14c | 143.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 25c | 131.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 32c | 122.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…df4ebacked Yes | 15c | 115$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…15e2backed Yes | 42c | 112.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…e36ebacked Yes | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 22c | 110.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 21c | 106.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 437 | 13.3%58 W · 379 L | -78.8wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…4bf3backed Yes | 14c | 100.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…6edbbacked Yes | 50c | 100.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 44c | 100.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…35c8backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…0af4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8702backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 727 | 26.4%192 W · 535 L | +63.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9e8backed Yes | 25c | 99.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 97.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…acbabacked No | 66c | 91.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…446dbacked Yes | 44c | 90.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…8ac4backed Yes | 16c | 88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…1720backed Yes | 38c | 87.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 37c | 86.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7149…1301backed Yes | 43c | 77.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 41c | 74.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…4b73backed Yes | 34c | 71.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Yes | 14c | 69.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 29c | 69.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…cb7cbacked Yes | 29c | 64.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 173 | 34.7%60 W · 113 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d7dbbacked Yes | 65c | 61.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…6b7ebacked Yes | 53c | 61.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…5797backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…289ebacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…ebacbacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +328.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed Yes | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c04…7031backed Yes | 25c | 56.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…b45fbacked No | 56c | 55.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…acd7backed Yes | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…5663backed No | 39c | 50.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5776…e581backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 55c | 49.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe260…6168backed Yes | 39c | 49.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…1080backed Yes | 49c | 48.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7550…60f9backed Yes | 43c | 46.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…18fabacked No | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x280a…04b6backed Yes | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…258ebacked Yes | 44c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…9c2ebacked No | 62c | 37.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…bdeebacked Yes | 40c | 35.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d37…35e4backed Yes | 36c | 35.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 45c | 30.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…b941backed Yes | 55c | 30.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…955bbacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd9…496dbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 53°F or below on November 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on November 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on November 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on November 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.