Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04e05cb6f861aab0a88a405467407dea71d341b4e6b0366192e301813890a561
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6694…f3a7backed Yes | 77c | 2,161$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…c0a5backed No | 2c | 1,900$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc107…0137backed No | 4c | 1,581$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…fd14backed Yes | 54c | 1,465$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.35 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…d9c1backed No | 27c | 1,307$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.39 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.8wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…4581backed Yes | 45c | 1,161$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.18 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 42c | 990.32$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.5 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed No | 27c | 821.79$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 640.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5801…a4afbacked Yes | 76c | 615.31$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 54c | 587.07$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.81 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b0…1f9abacked Yes | 46c | 446.12$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.49 | 275 | 34.2%94 W · 181 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed No | 17c | 409.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…a8f6backed Yes | 66c | 381.85$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef12…8e61backed Yes | 31c | 338.44$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 20c | 332.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…e36ebacked Yes | 66c | 327.43$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…4b73backed Yes | 36c | 307.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.24 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…f204backed Yes | 46c | 295$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +17.9wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 48c | 286.03$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…bcfdbacked No | 36c | 281$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 39c | 249.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d7dbbacked Yes | 49c | 226.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…ba00backed No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…aad8backed Yes | 66c | 219$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…a4a9backed Yes | 74c | 217.21$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 56c | 204.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…1425backed Yes | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…a949backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 58c | 199.42$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8702backed No | 57c | 198.32$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f8…f8d5backed No | 38c | 194.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 545 | 29.5%161 W · 384 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…acd7backed Yes | 52c | 192.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…815cbacked No | 48c | 182$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5072…c02abacked No | 48c | 181$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 55c | 179.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb332…c5aabacked Yes | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…10c4backed Yes | 53c | 168$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 166.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…01c0backed Yes | 40c | 148.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 142.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 38c | 138.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6186…c98abacked No | 10c | 137.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 35c | 123$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 50c | 116.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…9472backed Yes | 61c | 112.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…d13abacked Yes | 9c | 112$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 943 | 3.4%32 W · 911 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…4b2bbacked Yes | 62c | 110.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…f0e3backed Yes | 47c | 107.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 37c | 106.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…955bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…af8bbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56f…8848backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…5905backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…41e3backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae64…84cbbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816a…433dbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50db…8bdcbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ac…150dbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219b…2de6backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ef…b084backed Yes | 47c | 98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…164bbacked No | 53c | 98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…1720backed Yes | 53c | 94.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 60c | 83.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420d…8c5ebacked Yes | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…5663backed Yes | 25c | 79.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef36…3e1dbacked Yes | 42c | 76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…92cfbacked No | 58c | 76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…c56fbacked Yes | 66c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7262…dd51backed Yes | 49c | 72.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked No | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked No | 53c | 68.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…83eebacked No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…b337backed Yes | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 323 | 10.5%34 W · 289 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 727 | 26.4%192 W · 535 L | +63.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…289ebacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…2413backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…28dabacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d37…35e4backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…87a9backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 464 | 23.5%109 W · 355 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 28c | 49.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 437 | 13.3%58 W · 379 L | -78.8wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…41debacked Yes | 52c | 47.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 42c | 47.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b3…2280backed No | 27c | 46.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8484…4de9backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…a8b4backed Yes | 49c | 45.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…caaebacked Yes | 45c | 44.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d1…eda0backed No | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…42c6backed Yes | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…a53fbacked No | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…fee2backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb69e…d1babacked No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…1690backed No | 57c | 39.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 39c | 36.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…e1bdbacked Yes | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…15e2backed No | 51c | 34.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…0649backed Yes | 59c | 34.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Yes | 61c | 32.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 53°F or below on November 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on November 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on November 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on November 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.