TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5567…aeed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
736
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8041.3%33 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$31
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$57.79
Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$41.5
Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.77
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.45
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+238%+$295.51
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$186.92
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.1%+$7.05
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$817.03
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35.98
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.15
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+97.8%+$122.68
Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.96
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.01
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.19
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.68
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+68.9%+$583.51
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.33
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+39.5%+$143.61
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$261.38
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST7427%20 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$12.11
Will The J. M. Smucker (SJM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$36.13
Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.89
Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26.88
Will Burlington Stores (BURL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.37
Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.77
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$36.9
Will StoneX Group (SNEX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+32.6%+$273.93
Will Semtech (SMTC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$59.92
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$88.76
Will Viking Holdings (VIK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$38.03
Will Wix.Com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$35.73
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$47.95
Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+197.1%+$31.05
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+212.4%+$41.43
Will Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+35.8%+$31.9
Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.08
Will Bitcoin Depot (BTM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+58.3%+$31.57
Will Gambling.com Group (GAMB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25.53
Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.39
Will European Wax Center (EWCZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$92.4
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25.41
Will iHeartMedia (IHRT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$75.94
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST5722.8%13 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+105.8%+$98
Will Opendoor dip to $5 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
Will Apple dip to $264 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+455.6%+$164
Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Amazon reach $260 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+300%+$75
Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.82
Will NVIDIA reach $224 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$46.55
Will Palantir dip to $141 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.82
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $104 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $210 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.48
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.17
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $270 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.52
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.4
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+177.8%+$64
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+115.8%+$53.67
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$191.67
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+95.9%+$31.72
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $465 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$51.25
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+132.3%+$222.32
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$49.41
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+65.6%+$26.34
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5461.1%33 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.68
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$215.64
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$260.62
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+168.5%+$176.81
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$80.7
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+749.1%+$158.84
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38%+$62.73
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32%+$13.23
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.11
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.37
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.36
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.67
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.72
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+82.3%+$34.62
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$837.32
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+68.4%+$757.24
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$64.25
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+52.4%+$124.61
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$940.23
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$156.31
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+140.5%+$107.8
Rainbow FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.1%+$32.53
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130.27
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+57%+$188.3
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+99.4%+$404.14
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+43.2%+$161.49
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$453.36
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47%+$76.05
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+87.7%+$105.8
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.28
Will None in 2025 occur?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.27
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.16
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.3
Panick in the White Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.36
Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.97
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.33
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.01
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+246.9%+$509.54
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+481.5%+$464.94
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+364.6%+$193.04
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$425.77
Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.9
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+67%+$352.57
US forces in Venezuela by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.12
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.07
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$111.37
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+269.2%+$267.62
Israel x Syria security agreement by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$23.32
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$37.49
20+ trapped Hamas fighters allowed to leave in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.13
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.85
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.73
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.2%+$285.75
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.4%+$343.93
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+125%+$198.28
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.47
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+99.3%+$171.22
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.57
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$545.12
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+99.9%+$29.06
Israel strike on Yemen by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.74
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+36.7%+$120.56
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$98.85
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+73.7%+$171.05
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$54.43
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20.69
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT5151%26 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.42
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$189.01
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.08
Will the New York City Mayor election have the largest Democratic margin of victory?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+376.2%+$79
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 28–29%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$87.32
Will Democrats win five elections in Nov?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$38.04
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$208
Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$61.27
Will Eric Adams get over 1% in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51.15
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25.1%+$197.56
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+37.3%+$165.29
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+38.6%+$172.99
Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$133.32
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+123.1%+$569.19
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$228.91
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$574.24
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+50.3%+$137.3
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+74.1%+$831.26
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,265Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.7%+$375.18
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+111.5%+$526.42
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 13% and 16% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+26%+$23.22
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$154.27
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT4850%24 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.25
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.82
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+149.5%+$239.22
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$49
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$49.82
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+92.9%+$172.11
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.65
Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.28
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+60.4%+$295.25
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+57.9%+$259.71
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.9%+$58.08
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$54.33
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.78
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.6%+$211.69
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Rachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.62
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+56.5%+$277.76
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+67.2%+$198.47
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$447.51
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+649.5%+$525.77
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$60.2
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$152.43
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.1%+$74.81
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the December meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+58.5%+$40
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$89.2
Megaquake by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$35.45
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+77.1%+$149.63
Will Detroit record the first snowfall?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$126.33
Will Chicago record the first snowfall?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+170.3%+$126
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$55.84
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$274.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+60.3%+$189.27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$342.17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$403.18
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.6%+$280.19
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$192.22
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+32%+$82.19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+47.6%+$217.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$151.51
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50.73
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+62.7%+$360.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$199.75
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$336.34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+80.5%+$226.07
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in October 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$147.02
2025 September third hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+28.1%+$97.32
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$752.26
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.13
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.4%+$143.1
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.22
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.29
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.27
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.85
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+77%+$44.69
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$215.42
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.9%+$8.12
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.54
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$62.75
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+128.9%+$37.54
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+78.2%+$54.45
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$58.16
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+55.9%+$121.37
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$53.29
Will Russia capture Shakhove by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$122.23
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+29.4%+$18.42
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+74.7%+$15.85
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,736Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+88%+$1,527.46
Ukraine hits Moscow by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$26.15
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.6%+$93.84
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18.09
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$144.54
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$68.45
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.59
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72%+$127.75
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+55.7%+$145.6
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$24.36
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.11
Will Yorgos Lanthimos be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
Will Weapons be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.07
Will A House of Dynamite be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.46
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104%+$119.8
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+50.3%+$14.23
Will Ryan Coogler be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.71
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+62.4%+$19.89
Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+60.4%+$248.33
Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+41.8%+$59
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$231.53
Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.44
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+30.9%+$107.05
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+34.9%+$340.64
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+27.1%+$24.55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+26.9%+$42.45
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+27.1%+$91.57
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,574Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+57.1%+$899.08
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+48.6%+$608.27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$500.72
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+33%+$314.27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25.3%+$33.4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+34.2%+$51
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+54.6%+$308.97
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+30.9%+$129.58
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+36.1%+$53
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+30.6%+$29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+25.1%+$26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$169.35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$310.66
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,680Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+36.7%+$982.95
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
All 19 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+156.9%+$151.02
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+159.9%+$106.25
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.2%+$53.2
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.5%+$44.33
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.87
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$118.98
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+232.4%+$568.9
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$163.7
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28.23
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+65%+$299.56
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+39.4%+$410.97
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$192.85
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$64.17
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.8%+$17.53
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$332.45
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+55.2%+$21.5
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$42.24
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$79
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.29
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$69
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.52
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$40
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$83.4
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$21.27
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.62
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+447.5%+$153.6
Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.1%+$103.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.86
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+82.8%+$138.71
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$432.8
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+52.6%+$269.88
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,535.25
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$747.63
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.05
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.2%+$4.02
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+52.7%+$28.83
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100.88
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+52.5%+$444.9
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+181.7%+$195.04
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$773.16
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$269.43
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$338.84
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$82.31
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+62.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+27.6%+$43.24
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+400%+$160
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+197.3%+$216.54
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$231.46
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+127%+$147.55
Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+48.3%+$67.37
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the AFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+270.4%+$146
Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Will the Los Angeles Rams make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.48
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.24
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+36.1%+$106.86
Will the Cleveland Browns make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.95
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.7%+$5.04
BNB all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,757Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.3%+$461.97
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,794Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.9%+$946.68
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.2%+$56.69
Will Chainlink reach $20 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30.44
Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$72.58
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+40.9%+$297.54
Will Ethena reach $0.50 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31.17
Will BNB dip to $800 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$46.19
Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,998Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+32.5%+$650.17
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.93
All 12 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$126.67
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+67.2%+$41.76
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.01
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+59.5%+$222.79
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$48.3
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$260.09
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+84.7%+$142.17
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$139.65
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$53.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+225.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+60.9%+$654.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$182.03
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+61.5%+$320.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$647.76
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.7%+$353.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+166.2%+$300.58
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.2%+$66.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$81.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Metz be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.