Serie A · resolved market
Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc08d2c4adafae24cb956c6baee9c0ed5ebb2d95656ad51aa61ba4e54878758cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd739…25b1backed Yes | 20c | 1,078$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +404.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 51c | 1,047$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 49c | 788.46$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.3 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 35c | 570.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1f…4a6bbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6b…31e2backed No | 62c | 467.96$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 21c | 429.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 54c | 320$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 56c | 284.76$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed No | 44c | 249.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked No | 45c | 248.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 17c | 246$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed No | 39c | 224.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 80c | 217.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…cec7backed Yes | 49c | 215$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…de1abacked Yes | 9c | 201$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +434.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed Yes | 34c | 199$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 20c | 197.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 193.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +74%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 75c | 173.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.27 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 9c | 152.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 31c | 128.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 66c | 127.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 49c | 125$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…d9edbacked Yes | 41c | 122.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…25d5backed No | 64c | 120.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5035…cf0dbacked Yes | 42c | 119.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2308…7e7fbacked Yes | 33c | 115.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +200%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…9aa5backed Yes | 62c | 113.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 18c | 108.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2024…4c0abacked No | 29c | 105.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…a9f8backed Yes | 53c | 92.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 30c | 91.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 72c | 87.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…9e7cbacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 19c | 77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 47c | 73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 34c | 67.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +193.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…5813backed Yes | 57c | 65.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 59c | 65.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…3e56backed Yes | 51c | 59.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabc…6905backed Yes | 19c | 55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +434%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Yes | 44c | 54.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 33c | 49.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…fd3bbacked Yes | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 78c | 47.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0c…cfd5backed Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cf…60d4backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe33…47d8backed Yes | 40c | 37.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 29c | 37.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf283…da05backed Yes | 38c | 34.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +207.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 50c | 31.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed Yes | 76c | 30.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…030cbacked No | 35c | 30.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 41c | 24.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…5a2abacked No | 70c | 23.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…ab6bbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…7dc3backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…8577backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?this page
- Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Atalanta finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Yes won
- Will Fiorentina finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Inter finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Yes won
- Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Lazio finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Yes won
- Will Sassuolo finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will US Cremonese finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Udinese finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.