Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ae30298f1671c0514386f0469b3fa0441c3334a05796e3e3e2db6031033600c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 35c | 1,990$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.62 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 62c | 1,404$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 79c | 1,269$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.77 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed No | 8c | 1,207$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.73 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed No | 9c | 959.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…e840backed Yes | 64c | 734.61$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked No | 7c | 647.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +110%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed No | 40c | 624$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 8c | 510$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +93%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 23c | 456.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.86 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 16c | 445.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.32 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 11c | 441.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +93%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…8d63backed No | 13c | 423.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 49c | 407.37$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…9e7cbacked No | 12c | 329.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 69c | 300.62$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 11c | 290.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…d7b3backed Yes | 67c | 276.68$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 35c | 265.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…5d21backed No | 11c | 264.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +201.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 4c | 263.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Yes | 53c | 203.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 49c | 187.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 42c | 183.37$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 18c | 179.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e0…d60cbacked Yes | 58c | 161.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 55c | 160$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 11c | 147.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 24c | 144$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +313.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 10c | 141$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.46 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 13c | 132.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 10c | 129.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 40c | 109.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Yes | 51c | 104$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 26c | 101.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…867bbacked No | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +339.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…d9edbacked No | 53c | 94.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 12c | 92.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +183.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 64c | 91.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4c…4e08backed No | 13c | 80.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +228.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 24c | 68.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed No | 25c | 68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 26c | 61.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32c8…0233backed No | 23c | 58.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +333.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked No | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 32c | 48.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked No | 45c | 47.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…3e56backed Yes | 65c | 44.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…7dc3backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 36c | 33.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…93d3backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 43c | 29.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Yes | 74c | 28.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 42c | 25.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 76c | 23.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…22cbbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 76c | 19.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Yes | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?this page
- Will Atalanta finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Yes won
- Will Fiorentina finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Inter finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Yes won
- Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Lazio finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Yes won
- Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Yes won
- Will Sassuolo finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will US Cremonese finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Udinese finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.