TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x85b9…906d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
748
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT19929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 199 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,015.24
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,690.35
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$68.2
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,084Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$15,977.49
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.17
Will Lionel Messi Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$214.99
Will Pedri Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$120.9
Will Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.6
Will Lamine Yamal Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$25.83
Will Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
Will Argentina finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$41.44
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$34.26
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+242.5%+$1,587.23
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$14.34
Will Lamine Yamal record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.46
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,670.37
World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$108.79
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.35
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,413.32
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$4,235.7
Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.4
Showing 25 of 199 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT14715%22 W · 125 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+80.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+1,517.1%+$284.18
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.02
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.49
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+1,642%+$248.49
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.32
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.56
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.66
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$61.08
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$85.48
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.82
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50.18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35.35
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36.81
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.7
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.16
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.11
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.78
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT9343%40 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+36%+$44.34
Will Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$141.08
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$316.76
Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$69.92
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$5,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,696.2
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+340.1%+$14,078.68
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Championbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.52
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,766Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$1,365.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.62
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$1,229.99
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,990.22
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.56
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$449.68
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,757.12
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$68.46
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.17
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,090.61
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$7,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,200
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.91
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.91
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.78
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.62
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT6939.1%27 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$480.91
Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$2,611.22
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.15
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+855.7%+$2,548.05
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+284.3%+$1,777.44
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.99
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,311.69
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20,652Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$8,015.16
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$3,182.83
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Will Bournemouth finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,061.82
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,501Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+643.1%+$9,655.64
Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29%+$120.49
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$54.85
Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.68
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$560.63
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$107.76
Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,474
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT3844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.68
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,361Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$1,611.12
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$43.2
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,021Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$942.61
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$563.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,479.26
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$480.24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$501.15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$968
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.99
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350.18
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$110.59
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$21.09
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,372.76
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+89.1%+$830.51
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,689.88
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,616Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$3,001.23
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+354.5%+$122.25
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,309.98
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$123.82
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$7,425.68
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+446.4%+$997.45
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,756Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$1,338.23
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$355
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.28
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,235.82
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,803Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$2,021.38
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.88
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$884.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$411.4
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,558.39
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.31
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.57
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.59
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.89
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,939.3
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.96
Will New York Knicks advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.48
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$135
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$54.5
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-30.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+187.9%+$310.64
Will Elliot Anderson record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$18.38
Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.69
Will AZ Alkmaar win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Will Petar Stanic record the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$13.84
Will Genk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will Ferencváros win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.84
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$963.52
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+339.2%+$1,771.53
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.74
UEFA Europa League: Tottenham vs. Bodø/Glimt (To Advance)backed Tottenham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$46.17
Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.29
Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.8
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.23
UEFA Europa League: Lyon vs. Man United (To Advance)backed Lyon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.62
UEFA Europa League: Athletic Club vs. Rangers (To Advance)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.91
Will Real Sociedad win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.7
Fenerbahce vs. Rangers, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+90.3%+$71.16
Bodo Glimt vs. Olympiakos, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed Bodo Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+25%+$28.33
AS Roma vs. Atlhletic Bilbao, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed Atlhletic Bilbao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$7.48
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.57
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.68
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.93
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,989Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+67.6%+$1,344.96
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$474.41
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$610
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+488.2%+$54.78
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$274.13
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$42.33
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+856.2%+$468.64
Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$33.26
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$68.07
Australian Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+57.2%+$18.2
Will Alex De Minaur win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.61
Will Alex De Minaur reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will Holger Rune reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Will Taylor Fritz win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.39
Will Daniil Medvedev reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17.39
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+194.9%+$622.2
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+437.1%+$96.04
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.65
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,844.74
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$64.13
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$48.59
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$214.99
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.7%+$229.05
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,369.23
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$285
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+172.2%+$47.45
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.9
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.51
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.85
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+1,023.6%+$127.92
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.15
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.34
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.51
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$14.18
Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$24.3
Will Celta Vigo qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.85
Will Espanyol finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$183.83
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$94.5
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$36.5
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$17.61
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.82
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-68.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.4
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,526.59
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,452.29
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44.06
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$74.49
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.56
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$74.52
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+34.5%+$113.12
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$970.32
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$539.19
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$304.97
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-87.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,736Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.7%+$464
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$74.64
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$69.92
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 3 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 2 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 5 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 8 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 9 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$48.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+269%+$109.35
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.32
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.49
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$606.34
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$23.08
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.29
Will Red Bull have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.79
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+72%+$83.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$100.5
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.88
Will Cremonese be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.21
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.01
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$430.91
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+127.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+400%+$1,600
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,131.6
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$693.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starbucks say "Pumpkin Spice" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+106.7%+$51.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$191.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$416.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.