Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8be5e2483a67e35acdf7dd73473818b57cbe5b1d9a7f1e68953f6ef8d10cede2

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,508,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,017,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,508,941 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	0c	55,555$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.55	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	13c	52,140$6,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,767.2	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	45,836$2,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,138.02	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed Yes	2c	31,000$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595	59	5.1%3 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	27,508$2,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,328.47	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	16c	22,092$3,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,454.3	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	11c	20,612$2,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,177.89	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	18,759$1,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,287.78	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	11c	15,496$1,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,667.2	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	18c	12,991$2,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,291.85	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1385…1cf9backed Yes	8c	12,716$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,044	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	4c	10,326$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.8	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	14c	9,654$1,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,317.77	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes	8c	9,385$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$772.94	112	8%9 W · 103 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-80%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	14c	9,213$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,329.83	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	2c	9,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.5	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	9c	8,605$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.33	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9efe…68cabacked Yes	1c	8,080$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.06	56	25%14 W · 42 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	11c	7,679$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.94	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80f4…c174backed Yes	7c	7,445$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	7c	6,750$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.56	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	11c	6,170$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$709.17	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	14c	6,018$859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$859.44	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	8c	5,770$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.31	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	13c	5,711$758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.92	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	14c	5,613$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.75	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	6c	5,570$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.57	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe155…45afbacked Yes	12c	5,490$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.1	209	24.9%52 W · 157 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	9c	5,461$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.75	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	5,310$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.87	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	9c	5,162$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	5,074$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.19	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	13c	5,002$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.13	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	6c	4,993$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.16	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	4,784$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.49	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	7c	4,593$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.25	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	2c	4,578$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.64	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	14c	4,539$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.65	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	15c	4,481$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.39	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…e619backed Yes	6c	4,348$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.34	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes	1c	4,278$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	17c	4,205$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.83	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	6c	4,181$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29d…edb3backed Yes	6c	4,061$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	11c	3,987$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.5	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	2c	3,947$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.62	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	6c	3,609$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	9c	3,565$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.94	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	8c	3,327$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.39	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Yes	11c	3,315$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.69	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	15c	3,297$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6233…8216backed Yes	9c	3,281$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.91	34	5.9%2 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a48…a46bbacked Yes	8c	3,270$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.78	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	12c	3,143$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.72	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	7c	3,013$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	14c	2,949$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	6c	2,911$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.8	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	15c	2,900$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.16	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa02e…8331backed Yes	8c	2,870$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.14	106	10.4%11 W · 95 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	7c	2,840$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.95	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed Yes	15c	2,798$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.4	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	7c	2,739$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.49	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	2c	2,707$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	15c	2,657$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.98	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	6c	2,647$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.95	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	7c	2,630$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.02	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	11c	2,612$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	6c	2,550$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.91	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	8c	2,411$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.83	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	5c	2,272$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.77	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	2c	2,125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	11c	2,124$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48c5…89f3backed Yes	10c	2,107$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.58	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	11c	2,099$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.37	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes	5c	2,099$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.41	237	35.4%84 W · 153 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73d8…483abacked Yes	8c	2,084$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.29	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dd5…d861backed Yes	5c	2,035$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	4c	2,001$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.95	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c27…2132backed Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.17	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	7c	2,000$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.35	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	1c	1,966$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.45	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	10c	1,936$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb70…b2e2backed Yes	17c	1,922$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.59	67	17.9%12 W · 55 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+22%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x478e…a576backed Yes	8c	1,903$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.37	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	16c	1,877$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	9c	1,847$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.6	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	6c	1,822$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.04	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5947…8bdabacked Yes	21c	1,721$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.84	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	5c	1,647$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.37	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	1,638$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.28	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	8c	1,622$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.35	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…4471backed Yes	6c	1,619$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.23	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	18c	1,616$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.25	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes	12c	1,608$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.36	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f9…a9ddbacked Yes	8c	1,600$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	57	5.3%3 W · 54 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…88eabacked Yes	8c	1,577$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	204	13.2%27 W · 177 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf70f…1b9abacked Yes	5c	1,554$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.33	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c31…5f1bbacked Yes	13c	1,543$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.48	67	25.4%17 W · 50 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event