Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00b9ee910ab3f57cb442d775a41fa8af33e8de6b7658c94d27ef6286e7c4f3c7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 16, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,157,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $687,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,157,299 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	0c	55,555$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.56	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	50,089$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	2c	39,281$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.2	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed Yes	1c	28,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	59	5.1%3 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	27,139$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.23	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	26,691$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.51	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	16,279$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.8	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc357…6646backed Yes	3c	15,980$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.65	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a9…9234backed Yes	0c	15,525$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.69	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f80…7a52backed Yes	2c	12,388$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.17	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe545…bb28backed Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab93…62b4backed Yes	5c	11,771$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	10,901$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.95	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes	1c	9,595$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.86	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	2c	9,487$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.89	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	3c	8,500$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.17	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48da…1685backed Yes	1c	8,340$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes	0c	8,259$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	233	21%49 W · 184 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	3c	8,205$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.49	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes	4c	7,658$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.99	112	8%9 W · 103 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-80%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	7,094$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.53	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	3c	6,991$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.93	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes	2c	6,715$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.91	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e0…281ebacked Yes	8c	6,264$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	7c	5,922$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.46	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	5,877$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.46	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0f3…42eabacked Yes	5c	5,623$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.73	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	6c	5,411$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc2…b847backed Yes	1c	5,357$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	1c	5,002$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.37	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	1c	5,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	6c	4,940$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.12	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	9c	4,650$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.74	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755e…978bbacked Yes	0c	4,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6c…5f23backed Yes	1c	4,449$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	2c	4,306$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.02	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	4,292$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.23	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,192$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.01	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	4,086$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.72	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	6c	4,034$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.19	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	3c	4,012$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.03	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	7c	3,875$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2246…dd6fbacked Yes	2c	3,814$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.7	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe22d…7677backed Yes	1c	3,801$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	4c	3,737$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.65	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6233…8216backed Yes	4c	3,602$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.11	34	5.9%2 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf6…aec0backed Yes	1c	3,406$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…4f92backed Yes	3c	3,300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c7c…1439backed Yes	1c	3,193$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.31	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	1c	3,154$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x378f…840abacked Yes	1c	3,119$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.09	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	2c	3,115$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	3,040$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.16	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	2,997$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.41	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a9…2293backed Yes	1c	2,923$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…e619backed Yes	3c	2,841$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.83	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	2c	2,773$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.24	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	5c	2,645$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.63	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11e1…4cc0backed Yes	2c	2,517$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…adf9backed Yes	1c	2,516$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.22	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-83.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Yes	5c	2,470$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.88	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	25cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb1…b2b3backed Yes	1c	2,425$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	51	2%1 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+107.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	1c	2,421$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.91	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	5c	2,404$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.67	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd65e…814ebacked Yes	4c	2,386$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.27	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	2,339$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.77	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1385…1cf9backed Yes	2c	2,316$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	2c	2,223$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.43	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	1c	2,215$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.74	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d88…35c6backed Yes	1c	2,200$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	8c	2,089$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.94	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	2,001$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.19	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	3c	2,000$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.22	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	1c	1,966$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…f76abacked Yes	1c	1,901$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	6cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes	2c	1,818$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes	3c	1,808$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.07	218	18.3%40 W · 178 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dda9backed Yes	1c	1,799$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	1,796$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.72	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	2c	1,778$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7587…81e2backed Yes	2c	1,717$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c31…5f1bbacked Yes	1c	1,668$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	67	25.4%17 W · 50 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	1,658$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.47	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4406…c664backed Yes	3c	1,641$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.93	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+30%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	5c	1,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef5…a2aabacked Yes	2c	1,493$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	8c	1,465$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	3c	1,418$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.46	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	2c	1,365$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x652e…4a94backed Yes	2c	1,353$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.42	133	23.3%31 W · 102 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18bf…3658backed Yes	3c	1,340$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.36	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf111…2a81backed Yes	2c	1,338$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	88	5.7%5 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	4c	1,329$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	7c	1,326$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.78	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8585…cbf4backed Yes	1c	1,303$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.52	120	9.2%11 W · 109 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Yes	3c	1,300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	7c	1,272$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.06	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes	4c	1,251$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.11	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	12cpaid	+196.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event