Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc575fe49537c923f9aabf87f636f4949360bc6bab41b0f60b4f0f12ad9c98e6

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,418,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,399,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,418,881 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	36c	52,822$18,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,994.29	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd1b…682bbacked No	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae8…b90abacked No	0c	49,700$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	80c	25,364$20,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,127.77	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed No	13c	21,932$2,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,927.61	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	65c	21,109$13,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,669.9	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	29c	20,065$5,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,174.65	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	13c	17,881$2,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,470.46	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	12,443$872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,570.86	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	52c	11,444$5,959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,959.28	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	55c	11,216$6,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,095.36	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	41c	9,382$3,818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,563.76	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	50c	9,077$4,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,577.34	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	26c	8,688$2,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,418.03	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	23c	8,142$1,878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,264.04	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	67c	7,675$5,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,555.22	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	25c	7,469$1,859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,609.91	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	35c	7,410$2,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,830.46	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No	67c	7,270$4,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,846.8	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	10c	7,257$762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,495.41	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	56c	7,000$3,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,886.57	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed No	46c	6,789$3,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,100.79	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	36c	6,578$2,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,365.94	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	15c	6,527$965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,561.45	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda6f…e619backed Yes	73c	6,415$4,709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,705.76	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a48…a46bbacked Yes	69c	5,690$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,790.15	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed No	40c	5,389$2,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,142.25	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x018d…0fe6backed Yes	71c	5,251$3,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530.19	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…0c76backed Yes	28c	5,194$1,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,751.39	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.28per pick	38cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	3c	5,039$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.3	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	33c	4,992$1,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,345.83	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1626…9992backed Yes	59c	4,987$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,047.31	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	26c	4,899$1,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,626.67	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60e…d332backed Yes	62c	4,807$2,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,814.65	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5331…69d8backed No	52c	4,678$2,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,418.17	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+132.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47e0…281ebacked Yes	20c	4,589$917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,672.92	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	46c	4,294$1,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,323.46	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	67c	3,940$2,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,626.59	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	24c	3,831$910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,920.98	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48c5…89f3backed Yes	37c	3,739$1,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,367.4	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0f3…42eabacked Yes	8c	3,718$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,416.84	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	24c	3,653$865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,788.43	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	30c	3,620$1,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,537	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Yes	50c	3,578$1,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800.42	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	38c	3,500$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,160	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x117f…e958backed No	49c	3,500$1,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,715	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e83…2a73backed Yes	48c	3,430$1,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800.21	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-62%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c27…2132backed No	73c	3,391$2,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,492.02	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Yes	19c	3,199$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,581.12	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+49.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	42c	3,084$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,795.76	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	18c	3,068$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,502.57	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb260…715abacked Yes	59c	3,037$1,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,251.08	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	71c	3,004$2,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.62	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95bd…b9bebacked No	77c	2,993$2,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,302.75	29	72.4%21 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	74cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80f4…c174backed Yes	69c	2,956$2,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$906.09	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	58c	2,952$1,709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,242.82	195	50.3%98 W · 97 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	33c	2,936$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.36	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdeb7…7331backed Yes	53c	2,929$1,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380.82	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	21c	2,900$621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,278.64	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…7d3cbacked Yes	69c	2,900$2,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	19c	2,869$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,333.03	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29d…edb3backed Yes	71c	2,800$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	7c	2,730$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,541.03	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	17c	2,698$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,237.54	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65a4…c1d5backed Yes	68c	2,659$1,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$849.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	2,657$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,492.59	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd8…e6f7backed Yes	70c	2,609$1,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.73	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc6…2b42backed No	58c	2,569$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.55	47	70.2%33 W · 14 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbfc…a7c0backed Yes	67c	2,501$1,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$821.78	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	19c	2,488$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,005.92	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e6e…0ba6backed Yes	62c	2,486$1,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950.64	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa44a…5d2dbacked Yes	14c	2,453$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,121.2	35	8.6%3 W · 32 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	27c	2,402$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,751.69	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2364…d963backed No	73c	2,390$1,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,741.46	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7587…81e2backed Yes	58c	2,373$1,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.53	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed No	59c	2,340$1,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,383.86	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	53c	2,303$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,082.63	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	44c	2,200$966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,234.84	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed No	36c	2,200$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.51	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb70…b2e2backed Yes	21c	2,189$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,737.53	67	17.9%12 W · 55 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+22%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed No	61c	2,163$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.84	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-16.1wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed Yes	54c	2,152$1,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.46	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc1…3058backed No	50c	2,150$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.9	93	38.7%36 W · 57 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa1e…90f7backed No	75c	2,145$1,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,608.75	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-4.0wins	-0.22per pick	45cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3576…09debacked No	64c	2,099$1,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,346.22	29	75.9%22 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes	63c	2,051$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.51	146	25.3%37 W · 109 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	51c	2,035$1,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,001.26	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	9c	2,001$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,816.65	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed No	32c	2,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.99	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5464…9d3ebacked Yes	44c	1,983$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,112.31	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	41c	1,968$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,168.43	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	33c	1,959$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,309.09	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	10c	1,956$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,755.56	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2ed…8808backed Yes	75c	1,951$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.58	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x460c…d25fbacked Yes	42c	1,939$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,115.79	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	3c	1,932$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,882.09	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Yes	49c	1,923$942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$981.75	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	50c	1,844$914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930.31	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59fc…938cbacked No	54c	1,839$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x406c…ec46backed Yes	12c	1,832$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,612.94	100	13%13 W · 87 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event