TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb260…715a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 50 out of 100; worst Cricket at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT6532.3%21 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$44.51
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$616.3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+170.7%+$855.09
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$6.44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.7%+$7.85
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$84.83
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+27.8%+$224.14
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$124.57
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$189.23
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+285%+$216.89
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$56.08
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26.17
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+168.7%+$112.1
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$694.79
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$67.35
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.1%+$901.06
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+62.7%+$470.3
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35.11
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$383.75
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,039.21
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+292.5%+$55.76
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$5.02
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.09
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,225-$5,350 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+30.7%+$49.74
Silver (SI) Up or Down on February 6?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32.3
Gold (GC) Up or Down on February 5?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$58.56
Gold (GC) Up or Down on February 4?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+95.3%+$31.19
Gold (GC) Up or Down on February 2?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37.04
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+137.4%+$51.4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+67%+$76.27
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,175.72
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$360.47
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$126.09
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$109
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+339.4%+$1,048.27
Will Silver (SI) settle at $72.5-$75 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.12
Will Silver (SI) settle at $75-$77.5 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$82.5 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$34.43
Will Silver (SI) settle at $77.5-$80 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,576.7%+$233.21
Will Silver (SI) settle at $82.5-$85 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$49.9
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$72.5 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$187.51
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$20.11
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$24.78
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$15.04
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs South Africabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs Indiabacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$49.3
Will Sai Sudharsan win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.05
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.6
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$29.8
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$13.82
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.57
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.57
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.78
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$9.01
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$35.3
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27.11
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$3,001.6
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$78.6
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,759Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+149.6%+$5,622.68
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$928.84
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,275.37
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,016Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+134.7%+$1,368.45
All 7 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.92
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,025.99
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,094Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$1,566.55
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.19
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$131.58
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.83
All 7 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$9.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.54
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.