NFL · resolved market
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9137ec5825ed70419b6804f99c5e7ab6ca8544a0a3b65e2f930404846096a097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f85…8693backed Yes | 0c | 6,219$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 23c | 4,039$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…e0ffbacked Yes | 23c | 3,657$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…5ddfbacked Yes | 26c | 3,592$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…f793backed Yes | 20c | 2,887$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…fdb2backed Yes | 21c | 2,812$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 8c | 2,503$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 14c | 2,183$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.31 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed Yes | 24c | 2,110$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.56 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 69c | 2,085$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.17 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c73…79e9backed Yes | 7c | 1,998$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de9…6018backed Yes | 12c | 1,709$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…233abacked Yes | 22c | 1,627$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 71c | 1,619$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…08a9backed Yes | 16c | 1,590$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…14fdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 19c | 1,172$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.38 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…4e45backed Yes | 27c | 1,068$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked Yes | 41c | 988.86$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…100abacked No | 77c | 976$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…878cbacked Yes | 6c | 899.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3c32backed Yes | 36c | 849.99$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 27c | 818.65$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.7 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…8619backed Yes | 3c | 808.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 38c | 789.61$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked Yes | 10c | 751.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 12c | 740.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…03e0backed Yes | 4c | 738.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…2bbbbacked Yes | 15c | 669.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a0…4af0backed Yes | 20c | 648$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 619.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977b…40f6backed Yes | 24c | 600.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0c…562cbacked Yes | 3c | 571.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…bd89backed Yes | 39c | 565.08$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…9dd3backed Yes | 23c | 532.49$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…132abacked Yes | 6c | 483.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 7c | 439.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c02…54e0backed Yes | 21c | 431.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…b6c8backed No | 76c | 417.55$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…03cfbacked Yes | 4c | 417.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 36c | 400$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed No | 76c | 397.23$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 33c | 363$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 75c | 315.68$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 31c | 291.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…cf00backed Yes | 19c | 290.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 5c | 286.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fb…678abacked Yes | 26c | 275$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…f7f0backed Yes | 18c | 274.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 270.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…ed36backed Yes | 8c | 250.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd16…eb67backed Yes | 14c | 249.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 220.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 26c | 220$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4503…af53backed Yes | 25c | 217.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…542ebacked Yes | 38c | 204.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…6707backed No | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed Yes | 20c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…05a9backed Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed Yes | 27c | 190.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…00aebacked Yes | 12c | 187.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb5…8685backed No | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591e…50c7backed Yes | 31c | 176$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…dd3abacked Yes | 35c | 164$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…e353backed No | 64c | 149.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…96dcbacked Yes | 19c | 149.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…300dbacked Yes | 35c | 145.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…72e9backed Yes | 14c | 140.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…8d3abacked Yes | 38c | 133.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Yes | 15c | 131.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3b…83bdbacked Yes | 42c | 120.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c5…b901backed Yes | 14c | 117.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…649fbacked Yes | 19c | 116.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…45d2backed Yes | 35c | 114.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…2a92backed Yes | 14c | 100.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…d4e0backed Yes | 40c | 100.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…f22bbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…0b59backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…1562backed Yes | 22c | 97.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…6338backed No | 69c | 96.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 61c | 94.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 15c | 92.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d7…0ffebacked Yes | 25c | 91.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…4682backed No | 65c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…5fc5backed Yes | 35c | 85.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 26c | 73.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee7…3019backed Yes | 30c | 72.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…11f4backed No | 73c | 71.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…852fbacked Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 29c | 68.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…2283backed Yes | 35c | 64.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…42b6backed Yes | 24c | 62.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…5dc6backed Yes | 34c | 61.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d74…d062backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7d…fd70backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd460…be1dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?this page
- Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get 80 million or more views on day 1?No won
- Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?No won
- Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?Yes won
- Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?No won
- Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 70 and 80 million views on day 1?No won
- Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.