TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x755d…6acc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
363
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: IPO, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT6331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.34
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will anyone say "Camera" during Big Brother E10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Avengers: Doomsday Trailer get between 35 and 40 million views on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.75
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$698.48
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.36
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.41
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$113.44
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.37
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$47
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+601.8%+$171.48
Will "The Drama" score at least 77 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$9.89
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT5521.8%12 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.98
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.94
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.9
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.79
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+243.7%+$111.58
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.18
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.92
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$158
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$41
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5437%20 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$10.2
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$105.59
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.4
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$190
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$37.75
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$41.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.62
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.3
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$98.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.66
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.34
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.22
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$105.54
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$56
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.38
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.9
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$636.62
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$52.2
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+454.4%+$1,885.51
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.92
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.67
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.58
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.8
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2218.2%4 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$56.33
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.19
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$702.54
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+988%+$7,933.88
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+97.1%+$387.28
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$307.29
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$65.74
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$37.7
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$828.9
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$494.92
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$29.86
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$354.5
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$154.84
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33.06
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40.85
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.1
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50.39
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$286.79
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$212.74
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$137.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.99
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+502.4%+$500.4
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.67
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.56
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.2
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.7
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Neymar Jr.'s national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.76
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.42
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$168.06
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$215.7
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+89.8%+$131.71
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+130.7%+$224.68
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$249.4
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+77%+$426.74
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+215.8%+$307.5
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.95
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$33.2
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.01
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112%+$15.16
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$61.22
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+74.8%+$42.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$156.87
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$404.58
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-88.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.46
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.9%+$43.07
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.19
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$789.12
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.26
All 11 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.19
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$21.54
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$86
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$28.32
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$374
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+109%+$73
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.