Olympics · resolved market
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92e7838fce13c9d2cbf6913e5434d0c61c678ed601ab0bff8ba2cbe1a392dce6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,109,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,109,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked Yes | 1c | 74,225$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 2c | 68,698$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 54,253$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 1c | 49,701$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.82 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 1c | 39,518$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.31 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 1c | 36,713$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 1c | 35,125$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 2c | 34,683$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.92 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Yes | 1c | 29,911$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…d72dbacked Yes | 2c | 20,689$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.87 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…10c9backed Yes | 2c | 19,104$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec50…45ffbacked Yes | 0c | 18,929$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 2c | 18,605$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 1c | 17,202$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.41 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 1c | 15,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 14,144$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.53 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 12,695$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193c…642cbacked Yes | 2c | 11,196$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 10,399$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.35 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dce…2958backed Yes | 3c | 10,029$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…5b3cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 3c | 9,999$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.08 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 1c | 9,700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…fccbbacked Yes | 1c | 8,580$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…8701backed Yes | 2c | 8,547$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes | 1c | 8,504$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…6e67backed Yes | 3c | 8,322$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 5c | 7,416$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 3c | 7,124$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.49 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…aacabacked Yes | 3c | 6,931$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed Yes | 3c | 6,739$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes | 1c | 6,700$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…250dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,597$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 2c | 5,772$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2252…4a8ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,318$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,246$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc85…b4f4backed Yes | 2c | 5,053$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 4,268$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…173dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,049$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…7fb5backed Yes | 3c | 3,640$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805e…9ce6backed Yes | 7c | 3,547$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…30ccbacked Yes | 3c | 3,442$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 2c | 3,196$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 1c | 3,106$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,010$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…8091backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,993$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…138cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,738$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 2c | 2,708$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 3c | 2,518$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +89%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…d482backed Yes | 2c | 2,517$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…4d9cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0369…76c7backed Yes | 3c | 2,460$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Yes | 1c | 2,419$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…9d3ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,190$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…adb9backed Yes | 3c | 2,138$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 4c | 2,120$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,061$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…fe31backed Yes | 4c | 2,014$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…1084backed Yes | 2c | 2,005$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 16c | 1,972$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 1,926$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9084…f570backed Yes | 1c | 1,750$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c7…3e93backed Yes | 4c | 1,627$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4766…0a29backed Yes | 1c | 1,583$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,509$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 1,506$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe076…def7backed Yes | 1c | 1,499$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 3c | 1,438$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b2…e9a3backed Yes | 4c | 1,418$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes | 2c | 1,413$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…d936backed Yes | 2c | 1,403$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…c1cabacked Yes | 4c | 1,400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 1c | 1,383$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…75a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,355$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…1e80backed Yes | 1c | 1,333$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…a237backed Yes | 4c | 1,290$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…9703backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…98febacked Yes | 3c | 1,210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,153$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e8…58c8backed Yes | 1c | 1,144$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…4882backed Yes | 3c | 1,112$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…4f5bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,059$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fd…70d7backed Yes | 3c | 1,050$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…39c4backed Yes | 2c | 1,042$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d9…b6c0backed Yes | 2c | 1,030$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3274…ab8fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c0…59eabacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b7…bc69backed Yes | 3c | 991.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 4c | 977.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Yes | 2c | 939.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Denmark win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Latvia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.