Olympics · resolved market
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75fb9489c24107b67e3428d2ccb660d411a04d80f017f6d5233a5c667f97918b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,032,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $716,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,032,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked Yes | 10c | 300,275$29,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,214.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 7c | 90,877$6,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,708.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 5c | 77,106$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 4c | 32,241$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.37 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 5c | 30,698$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…62f0backed Yes | 5c | 30,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 8c | 23,274$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.71 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…af03backed Yes | 10c | 17,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Yes | 6c | 16,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…fc5bbacked Yes | 6c | 16,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes | 11c | 15,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 10c | 11,575$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.08 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 5c | 10,219$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.77 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 7c | 8,821$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.07 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 10c | 8,222$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.27 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 8c | 6,061$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed79…5479backed Yes | 9c | 5,833$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 6c | 5,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…40fcbacked Yes | 6c | 5,073$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 13c | 4,400$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Yes | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 13c | 3,900$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,880$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.13 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 11c | 3,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Yes | 11c | 3,300$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d21…8648backed Yes | 12c | 3,202$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…fccbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,886$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 6c | 2,786$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 2,550$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…bb56backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee1…fc10backed Yes | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 9c | 2,433$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.02 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…f046backed Yes | 10c | 2,325$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes | 6c | 2,238$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 8c | 2,200$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 9c | 2,084$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.42 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 9c | 2,060$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f10…3736backed Yes | 5c | 1,903$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1020…366cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,867$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 6c | 1,683$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…240bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…5fe6backed Yes | 6c | 1,550$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…9466backed Yes | 4c | 1,455$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes | 10c | 1,411$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 5c | 1,406$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 1,373$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.01 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes | 8c | 1,365$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,335$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Yes | 4c | 1,252$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +393.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…8701backed Yes | 12c | 1,245$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,209$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 10c | 1,115$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 5c | 1,060$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…fc8cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,048$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Yes | 8c | 1,047$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Yes | 11c | 1,034$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…d077backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 9c | 976.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 5c | 948.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f20…f339backed Yes | 12c | 933.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Yes | 12c | 840$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…e366backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…45e6backed Yes | 12c | 820$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed Yes | 11c | 812.29$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 8c | 800$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked Yes | 9c | 800$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…338fbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…e2bbbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…22cbbacked Yes | 7c | 691.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…d936backed Yes | 12c | 666.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 12c | 650$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 9c | 600.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…947ebacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…e8d9backed Yes | 18c | 557.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Yes | 12c | 540.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 12c | 522.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…fe31backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…00e9backed Yes | 6c | 466.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Yes | 9c | 424.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 4c | 421.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c7…3e93backed Yes | 6c | 419.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…bc3abacked Yes | 6c | 416.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…f3b5backed Yes | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yes | 8c | 400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Denmark win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Latvia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.