TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x766c…bb56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT7245.8%33 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$267.74
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.57
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.53
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.68
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.85
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.36
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$306.57
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.12
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$183.53
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$232.09
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+335.5%+$96.01
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$271.83
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+175.3%+$438.49
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.58
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.73
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$165.67
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$107.58
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.71
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$124.93
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$213.4
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+258.2%+$296.42
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs fnatic (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$120.7
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Passion UA (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.34
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.15
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$481.87
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-76.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick20cpaid+272.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.8
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$509.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.