CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ddce0a9e11aea23081f983c7140bb6fbe96c9eae5c6da196abdcc9d9f0552f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof TheMongolz, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked TheMongolz | 27c | 2,794$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.77 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed FUT Esports | 73c | 2,788$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.72 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FUT Esports | 74c | 1,587$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.32 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed TheMongolz | 27c | 619.76$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.34 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…b48bbacked FUT Esports | 77c | 527.65$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed TheMongolz | 26c | 514.55$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…bb56backed TheMongolz | 27c | 442.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.53 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed FUT Esports | 74c | 404.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed FUT Esports | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed FUT Esports | 70c | 392.78$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed TheMongolz | 26c | 364.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FUT Esports | 71c | 338.02$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed FUT Esports | 74c | 312.16$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz | 30c | 304.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked TheMongolz | 20c | 295.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed TheMongolz | 34c | 282.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…0c4cbacked FUT Esports | 79c | 250.68$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed TheMongolz | 26c | 207.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed FUT Esports | 80c | 182.29$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…612cbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 108.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed TheMongolz | 31c | 104.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked TheMongolz | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed TheMongolz | 26c | 95.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Esports | 68c | 92.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TheMongolz | 25c | 91.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed TheMongolz | 25c | 73.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc39…f79bbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed TheMongolz | 27c | 70.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked FUT Esports | 70c | 15.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.