CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3877b7a8664f9ffed1e798f37a92392600bd29bfe725332deb28c64a9e64eb8

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,884 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x059e…54d1backed Under	53c	3,399$1,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,600.56	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	27c	1,724$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,258.16	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under	62c	1,325$815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.61	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over	1c	1,200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	197	3.6%7 W · 190 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Over	42c	1,034$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.48	458	48.5%222 W · 236 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under	49c	956.82$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.98	1,081	50.9%550 W · 531 L	+37.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under	49c	583.24$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.23	1,144	49.4%565 W · 579 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	42c	579.69$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.16	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	812	44.3%360 W · 452 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa304…b075backed Over	50c	497.6$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.8	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a0…79ddbacked Over	51c	380.63$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.12	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over	51c	285.47$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.59	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over	47c	272.72$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.28	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6777…5bbfbacked Over	54c	250.83$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.15	98	44.9%44 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	49c	193.91$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.32	780	43.7%341 W · 439 L	-21.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under	60c	181.2$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.1	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over	63c	155.65$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.77	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-5.3wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa889…ebcdbacked Over	51c	153.58$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.33	192	56.8%109 W · 83 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Over	61c	144.39$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.08	416	40.6%169 W · 247 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Over	50c	125.73$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.06	201	45.8%92 W · 109 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ddc…6796backed Over	47c	123.6$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.09	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over	50c	122.91$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.04	225	34.2%77 W · 148 L	-19.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05bc…eabbbacked Under	52c	110.52$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.87	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Over	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Over	54c	90.04$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.62	135	53.3%72 W · 63 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07cc…b2e6backed Under	65c	84.18$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.36	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85de…4620backed Over	40c	75.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over	55c	74.28$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.56	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaa9…511abacked Over	53c	63.66$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.74	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	31c	59.9$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.33	213	51.2%109 W · 104 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under	31c	59.9$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.33	97	58.8%57 W · 40 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under	31c	59.9$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.33	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over	52c	59.14$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	159	65.4%104 W · 55 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	32c	58.06$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.48	245	44.5%109 W · 136 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	32c	58.06$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.48	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under	21c	52.39$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.39	1,304	26.5%345 W · 959 L	-89.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over	34c	50.54$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	492	42.1%207 W · 285 L	-17.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Over	43c	44.92$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	264	43.2%114 W · 150 L	-10.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefbd…65fabacked Over	54c	44.85$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.11	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d0…0b0fbacked Over	47c	41.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Over	42c	40.4$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.97	202	51%103 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over	51c	38.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	347	42.9%149 W · 198 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e27…d603backed Under	50c	37.83$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.92	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Over	54c	36.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	377	57.8%218 W · 159 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under	47c	33.96$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	+9.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over	43c	32.86$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over	51c	30.45$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.53	334	56.6%189 W · 145 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Under	44c	29.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.79	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bed…fd9cbacked Over	50c	29.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	206	56.8%117 W · 89 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Under	48c	29.06$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.11	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef07…5bd2backed Over	51c	28.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4049…d92abacked Under	53c	24.72$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.62	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+82.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x732d…400dbacked Over	51c	22.84$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.65	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c64…929abacked Under	51c	21.21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.32	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x641c…ba0bbacked Over	50c	20.37$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-7.6wins	-0.29per pick	60cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsFUT Esports won
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event