TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x732d…400d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,460.18
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.04
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.46
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$8.6
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.08
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$924.51
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$910.56
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$848.03
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$482.44
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+194.3%+$626.64
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Open Sud de France: Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.62
Australian Open Women's: Katerina Siniakova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,048.53
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,119.72
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$521.4
Spurs vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$132
All 5 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$598.53
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$708.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufabacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.05
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.21
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150%+$1,319.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$144
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$153.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$155.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.