Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a165962b4cdaca136a887901508d8fd82abeab14546af4fa047d6be0acc99d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 22c | 4,102$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.06 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 2,771$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.15 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 25c | 1,962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 6c | 1,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 77c | 895$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.37 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 19c | 866.89$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…400dbacked No | 19c | 820$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 18c | 799.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 19c | 762.65$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.35 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 16c | 689.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +312.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 24c | 475$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 17c | 449.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 13c | 282$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 76c | 264$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 19c | 255.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Yes | 80c | 251.65$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 65c | 227.8$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 18c | 189.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7796backed No | 20c | 175$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 15c | 173$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…3670backed Yes | 65c | 139.87$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 23c | 131.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab8…c3b0backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e00…028ebacked No | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…1a5ebacked Yes | 76c | 115$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 68c | 102.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…09ddbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 15c | 98.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 17c | 98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed No | 18c | 97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 94.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 18c | 84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 24c | 79.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed No | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Yes | 80c | 49.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Yes | 80c | 48.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 68c | 40.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 70c | 32.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 79c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 74c | 14.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. UMF Breiðablik end in a draw?No won
- Will UMF Breiðablik win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.