TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ec7…7796

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+334.8%+$164.47
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$61.3
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+72.4%+$9.43
Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30.79
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+217.4%+$136.55
Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29.97
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30.02
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40.13
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$82.49
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$78.5
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$49
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$72.09
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20.16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team (BO3)backed Runa Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+455.6%+$61.5
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$32.67
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$56.15
Dota 2: Heroic vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+376.2%+$51.34
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team (BO3)backed Runa Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.86
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Passion UA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.1
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$47.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24.05
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$18.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$77.33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+170.9%+$107.25
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Martin Landaluce vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+150%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.