Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18f38040a7fec097ae42a82f5163f12b05ab3d78a9b81907e044fe3a2dd6fb02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Yes | 51c | 29,139$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,749.73 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 49c | 20,206$9,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,304.97 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 50c | 20,001$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 51c | 19,957$10,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,177.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 49c | 16,158$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,178.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -62%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 12,616$6,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,954.76 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 9,759$5,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,543.93 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 9,697$5,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.66 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…94fdbacked Yes | 50c | 7,200$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 51c | 5,921$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.93 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 56c | 5,335$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 5,070$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.69 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…17a0backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 47c | 2,931$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 50c | 2,838$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.9 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…a932backed Yes | 30c | 2,336$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 64c | 2,032$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 46c | 1,629$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 1,438$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.02 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 52c | 1,111$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.57 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…5fb5backed Yes | 46c | 1,090$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 47c | 1,071$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 46c | 999.8$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 51c | 780.94$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.94 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…d51ebacked Yes | 46c | 750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…0b56backed No | 55c | 740$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ec…0ce2backed No | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 50c | 690.47$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.61 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ab…7a62backed Yes | 46c | 690$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 51c | 659.34$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.14 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 596.28$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.29 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 21c | 500$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 50c | 482.03$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.89 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2667backed Yes | 51c | 441.57$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 49c | 416.92$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.63 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 50c | 391.93$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…1993backed No | 60c | 299.74$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 45c | 282.04$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Yes | 36c | 271.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 53c | 253.32$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 49c | 244.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 50c | 242.44$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.22 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…739bbacked Yes | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 49c | 235$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 55c | 217.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed Yes | 7c | 212.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Yes | 45c | 208$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…1e6bbacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 49c | 203.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 33c | 201.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…eb44backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…09ddbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +312.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked No | 51c | 197.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…51d0backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 51c | 189.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 51c | 178.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 45c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 76c | 166.65$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 49c | 160$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1f…0ec8backed No | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 52c | 151.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…7bfbbacked Yes | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 54c | 143.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…e9d2backed Yes | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed Yes | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked No | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7796backed No | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…fe51backed Yes | 46c | 109.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…bf69backed Yes | 51c | 108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 48c | 105.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…2b55backed Yes | 35c | 101.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…822bbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…0c5abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 56c | 89.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 50c | 82.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-12-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.