TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb6a…b19d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.94
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,996.05
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+279.8%+$2,787.16
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.92
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.87
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$70.71
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: PSG Talon vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Secret Whales (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+400%+$357.76
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$19.7
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.28
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$532.28
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$6.13
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$8.52
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$6.67
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$44.99
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$2.66
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.4
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.19
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.13
All 13 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Dream vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Mystics vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$21.59
Mercury vs Valkyriesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$45.92
Mystics vs Stormbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$63.24
Dream vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 6 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$15.3
Cubs vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.52
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Ruud vs. Stricker backed Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$42.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$31.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+39%+$14.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.5%+$9.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FISSURE Playground 1: Wildcard vs. FURIAbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.