Poker · resolved market
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eb93075f572715b2d6255916879f4e524de31916106311d5e47a57ede334c1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Pokerevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $407,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Poker is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Poker | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe07a…6adbbacked Yes | 22c | 137,122$29,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,133.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +357.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 75c | 26,369$19,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,884.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 18c | 20,000$3,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 77c | 15,546$11,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,971.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140a…c075backed Yes | 78c | 13,600$10,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 18c | 10,001$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,170.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked No | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 56c | 9,090$5,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,081.74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 22c | 9,056$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 54c | 8,800$4,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,775.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093d…766fbacked Yes | 20c | 5,250$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…c1debacked No | 80c | 5,128$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…b212backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 18c | 4,012$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…b081backed No | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 79c | 3,797$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…e393backed Yes | 21c | 3,606$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +371.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 47c | 3,578$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 66c | 3,190$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 35c | 2,777$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 58c | 2,567$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 47c | 2,563$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb5…ed05backed No | 80c | 2,500$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed No | 76c | 2,322$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed No | 14c | 2,250$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed No | 42c | 2,241$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 36c | 1,564$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…f89dbacked No | 79c | 1,500$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ce…f646backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…2a55backed Yes | 64c | 1,500$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 21c | 1,457$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed Yes | 77c | 1,328$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 77c | 1,261$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,211$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…74dabacked Yes | 22c | 1,140$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…c86fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,011$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +388.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6a…c011backed Yes | 20c | 1,003$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed No | 51c | 999.99$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…1be9backed Yes | 22c | 993.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed No | 40c | 972.15$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 42c | 970$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 30c | 817.79$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…cd8bbacked No | 16c | 772.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977b…10d9backed Yes | 21c | 690.48$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…a68cbacked No | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 21c | 585.71$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 21c | 550$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 534.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…1c7bbacked No | 16c | 522$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Yes | 20c | 510.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +410.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…c0c8backed No | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 77c | 498.62$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb4…7cfabacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…2766backed Yes | 19c | 474.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…05c1backed Yes | 71c | 444.05$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 78c | 420.04$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed No | 14c | 399.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…f022backed Yes | 41c | 395.46$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7508…1886backed Yes | 19c | 360$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed No | 22c | 339.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 16c | 310$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 21c | 301.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…3c93backed No | 16c | 294$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa677…7d76backed Yes | 48c | 283.27$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…58d9backed No | 16c | 273.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2875…e7e9backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 26c | 235.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf077…0c9dbacked No | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…ec0dbacked No | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Yes | 78c | 228.28$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 61c | 215.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb62a…dffcbacked Yes | 20c | 195$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…4cf5backed Yes | 21c | 183.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…0fe3backed No | 79c | 179.33$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d6…21f7backed Yes | 22c | 178.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked No | 32c | 176.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 49c | 167.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa353…55c1backed No | 72c | 167.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1f…62f3backed No | 20c | 164.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…0638backed No | 39c | 155.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…9282backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed No | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca04…6e22backed No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…3b47backed No | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…1293backed No | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…f7ebbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…2021backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…3dabbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e18…f9ffbacked No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Poker and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?this page
- Will Adam Hendrix win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Braxton Dunaway win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Daehyung Lee win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Jarod Minghini win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will John Wasnock win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Kenny Hallaert win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Leo Margets win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Luka Bojovic win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.