TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f55…74da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$224.64
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$74.68
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$294.25
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$58.2
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$127.66
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.18
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$225
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$101.74
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$42.69
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34.52
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$345.83
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.54
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.34
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.62
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$94.58
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+56.7%+$283.7
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$303.78
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Bitcoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$288
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+295.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+67.2%+$134.44
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+127.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+355.8%+$889.55
Will Adam Hendrix win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+62.7%+$103.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.