Will the next Pope be from Europe?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9419f62294dc0af13db4530a49c3608ee2e4d603e753de30aa5f192b81fb747

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 8, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $296,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $297,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,088 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 721 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6058…d286backed Yes	62c	11,113$6,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,901.96	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e44…e83fbacked Yes	65c	9,719$6,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,349.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4985…28bdbacked No	38c	7,606$2,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,732.13	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	39c	6,887$2,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,234.28	576	36.3%209 W · 367 L	-27.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Yes	62c	6,130$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+84.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked No	37c	6,000$2,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,808.79	100	37%37 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc3…648ebacked Yes	56c	4,110$2,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,281.55	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed Yes	3c	4,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+7.0wins	+0.27per pick	8cpaid	+854.8%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2dbd…ed66backed Yes	64c	4,000$2,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,560.71	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes	61c	3,586$2,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,179.49	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-5.6wins	-0.30per pick	56cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc47c…fa04backed Yes	57c	3,512$1,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,995.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3b…9f84backed No	38c	3,500$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,159.95	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Yes	61c	3,215$1,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,976.38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…bfdabacked Yes	66c	3,017$1,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,983.29	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-4.8wins	-0.24per pick	64cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed No	38c	2,952$1,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,836.29	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-83.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e7…9669backed No	43c	2,821$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,620.73	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	37cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes	70c	2,766$1,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,939.34	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No	37c	2,734$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,730.73	314	43.9%138 W · 176 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes	66c	2,576$1,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,693.64	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd6d…f860backed Yes	59c	2,477$1,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,463.59	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes	61c	2,458$1,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,503.01	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce8f…4400backed Yes	57c	2,430$1,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,389.39	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201e…174cbacked Yes	66c	2,210$1,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,458.78	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No	62c	2,200$1,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.89	56	64.3%36 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7487…fc0cbacked Yes	67c	2,147$1,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,438.04	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Yes	63c	2,134$1,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,353.28	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No	37c	2,000$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,251.88	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes	60c	2,000$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9464…bd9fbacked No	36c	2,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,279.97	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.22per pick	27cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x40bb…72bebacked Yes	64c	1,979$1,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,273.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47b3…129bbacked Yes	61c	1,971$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	41cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x81ca…b8f2backed Yes	62c	1,855$1,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,158.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No	80c	1,850$1,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.9	192	37.5%72 W · 120 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…d132backed Yes	70c	1,838$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,280	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	41c	1,803$747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.07	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc360…0c46backed Yes	59c	1,705$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-6.4wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcea8…d59ebacked Yes	63c	1,595$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78cf…77e6backed Yes	65c	1,580$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025.22	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80f8…6713backed Yes	66c	1,515$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec5…2624backed Yes	66c	1,514$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes	63c	1,500$942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.91	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f9…c092backed Yes	60c	1,497$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes	49c	1,484$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.6	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	38c	1,460$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$907.47	190	43.7%83 W · 107 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…e99bbacked Yes	68c	1,395$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b24…2e06backed Yes	61c	1,333$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d31…9862backed Yes	53c	1,330$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.92	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdfb…ea55backed Yes	63c	1,259$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0c1…e861backed Yes	55c	1,228$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.2	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	62c	1,200$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$741.71	347	26.8%93 W · 254 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fd3…e662backed Yes	59c	1,200$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.98	54	25.9%14 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb67c…a2c3backed Yes	58c	1,164$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.76	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes	67c	1,150$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.41	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab0…42debacked Yes	62c	1,104$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.31	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad35…c926backed Yes	61c	1,071$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5098…f59ebacked Yes	59c	1,036$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes	68c	1,034$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a5f…cbbfbacked Yes	63c	1,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Yes	65c	1,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	37c	981.31$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.79	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No	36c	921.45$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.53	165	35.8%59 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No	37c	889.21$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.2	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d7…6977backed Yes	68c	888.05$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes	63c	875.94$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.96	232	25%58 W · 174 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc360…d7a2backed No	36c	843.06$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.23	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1026…6738backed Yes	66c	819.79$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc59…096fbacked Yes	62c	806.99$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3c…cb2abacked Yes	62c	805.72$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8c4…a94bbacked Yes	58c	797.5$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.48	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	+233.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes	61c	790.27$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.7	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe28a…f973backed Yes	59c	778.45$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd57…9276backed Yes	65c	773.85$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4a…d0a4backed Yes	65c	769.23$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…e414backed Yes	66c	766.44$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.85	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef9…549abacked Yes	68c	740.27$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58a…25b6backed Yes	69c	729.64$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.63	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d26…ccb8backed No	41c	726$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.6	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+33%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb4…ae30backed Yes	58c	717.3$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef3d…1076backed Yes	66c	701.34$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes	64c	699.46$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.44	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x461c…b8e5backed Yes	65c	692.31$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4e2…1546backed Yes	59c	678.98$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d6…44c6backed Yes	66c	677.61$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf5…cafcbacked Yes	63c	676.91$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x371d…bf5dbacked Yes	78c	669.29$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b69…0cdebacked No	24c	665.99$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.94	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77a7…4606backed Yes	63c	664.47$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc112…47b0backed No	35c	661.03$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.03	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+80.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2a…dc47backed Yes	36c	644.44$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.76	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52a3…e236backed Yes	61c	623.23$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.44	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes	12c	601.79$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.21	121	33.1%40 W · 81 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf714…74d6backed Yes	64c	585.71$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.66	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	74cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes	55c	585.23$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.66	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	31c	579.59$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.87	88	21.6%19 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ef…cbabbacked Yes	64c	550$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No	35c	547.52$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.33	371	17.8%66 W · 305 L	-18.9wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb21…8145backed Yes	64c	500$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes	62c	500$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.97	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	55c	499.99$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the next Pope be from Europe?this page
Will the next Pope be from Africa?No won
Will the next Pope be from Asia?No won
Will the next Pope be from North America?Yes won
Will the next Pope be from Oceania?No won
Will the next Pope be from South America?No won
Will there not be a new Pope in 2025?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the next Pope be from Europe?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event