Will the next Pope be from Asia?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a50eb9e685ea7d3177d7a11bbd2456d0e86ea345bca0c934b09dc60511e8eb9

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 8, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $228,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $217,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,601 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5aca…8b98backed Yes	34c	15,420$5,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,170.57	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	79c	8,141$6,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680.93	576	36.3%209 W · 367 L	-27.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c92…1322backed Yes	20c	7,363$1,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,483.22	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c3e…3d75backed No	72c	7,276$5,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,037.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes	20c	7,213$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,449.74	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-83.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd23b…2cf5backed Yes	20c	4,886$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.81	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	+1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd4ad…8ac8backed Yes	20c	4,618$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.77	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6b…3e7abacked Yes	26c	4,399$1,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c91…1971backed Yes	26c	3,614$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.81	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47b3…129bbacked Yes	27c	2,939$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	41cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes	16c	2,726$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.67	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	+4.8wins	+0.11per pick	17cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cdd…b56ebacked Yes	20c	2,691$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8793…9dfabacked No	71c	2,323$1,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes	18c	2,141$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.45	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes	20c	2,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.99	48	25%12 W · 36 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+108.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c77…af46backed Yes	25c	1,852$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes	18c	1,851$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.66	232	25%58 W · 174 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed No	79c	1,708$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.7	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x030a…acfcbacked Yes	24c	1,691$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.46	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	31cpaid	+1,107.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe306…627ebacked No	51c	1,582$807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775.16	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…7479backed Yes	22c	1,565$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	+11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4107…e29cbacked No	80c	1,555$1,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.65	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.37per pick	71cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1442…5a8fbacked No	79c	1,538$1,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.87	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7f…2491backed Yes	21c	1,429$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes	20c	1,335$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.04	314	43.9%138 W · 176 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x088f…c9e7backed No	61c	1,191$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.32	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…0f4fbacked Yes	19c	1,188$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b4b…31ecbacked Yes	24c	1,187$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No	71c	1,176$835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.14	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes	18c	1,160$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.23	51	31.4%16 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes	30c	1,154$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.56	371	17.8%66 W · 305 L	-18.9wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf502…26e8backed Yes	22c	1,080$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.12	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	5cpaid	+375.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x801f…ea09backed Yes	20c	1,069$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb67c…a2c3backed Yes	24c	1,034$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.09	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes	23c	1,017$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.58	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No	74c	1,000$744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256	152	30.3%46 W · 106 L	-18.7wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf88f…c334backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.84	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	35cpaid	+174.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	982.97$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.24	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb56…5464backed No	72c	935.2$673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.86	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed No	76c	914.97$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.59	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	23c	887$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.86	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa309…adfbbacked Yes	24c	846.73$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.63	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	19c	700.02$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.85	347	26.8%93 W · 254 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c1…e861backed Yes	22c	680$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.6	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a10…63d3backed Yes	26c	631.89$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.38	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+154.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4a…74e8backed Yes	25c	618.04$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a7…89cbbacked Yes	21c	605.35$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.07	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes	24c	604.1$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.42	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No	76c	526.31$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.31	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes	8c	514.71$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.18	121	33.1%40 W · 81 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f6…6cc1backed Yes	20c	509.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Yes	19c	500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…f9aebacked No	77c	499.99$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Yes	21c	492.1$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	20c	491.42$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.87	457	23.2%106 W · 351 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Yes	21c	467.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No	76c	460$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.4	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked No	79c	450$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.5	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0432…8dacbacked No	76c	438.76$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf8…39d3backed Yes	23c	430.63$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b8…2c1fbacked No	53c	428.78$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.53	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2b93…6a05backed No	78c	407.63$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e0…b2edbacked Yes	25c	405.7$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4158…ce9fbacked No	55c	398.67$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.4	114	35.1%40 W · 74 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes	22c	367.52$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.85	190	43.7%83 W · 107 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3dc…c3e2backed Yes	21c	362.86$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.2	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	76c	350.98$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.98	884	48.5%429 W · 455 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes	43c	339.83$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.52	449	21.2%95 W · 354 L	-21.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf11f…ccbabacked No	61c	326.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.36	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	75c	317.82$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.45	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+4.8wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+18%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8002…f6eabacked Yes	18c	312.94$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739a…096bbacked No	76c	310$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.3	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001e…dd8fbacked Yes	21c	309.05$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b6…4725backed Yes	22c	306.64$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.61	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x897a…b17ebacked No	76c	300.99$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.22	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes	19c	300$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd74d…85e9backed No	78c	300$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes	7c	285.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked No	70c	283.42$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.66	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05c8…0de1backed No	76c	283.08$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.94	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed Yes	17c	281.65$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb1d…a871backed Yes	19c	273.68$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes	21c	270$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.7	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	12c	268.97$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x229c…7d80backed No	75c	266$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81b…f42dbacked Yes	23c	265.26$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb4…b86fbacked Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d26…ccb8backed No	78c	258.38$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.08	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+33%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3c…9b67backed Yes	19c	257.89$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+843.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d75…78b9backed No	78c	257.18$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.18	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a6…936bbacked Yes	21c	251.93$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.73	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b24…2440backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+297.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…1440backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1803…772ebacked Yes	18c	250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes	24c	249.99$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	62	29%18 W · 44 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95e6…cc9abacked Yes	25c	240$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes	25c	235$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.75	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+140%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcace…df87backed No	79c	224.22$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.02	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…a94bbacked Yes	23c	222.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	+233.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked No	68c	222.09$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.07	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the next Pope be from Asia?this page
Will the next Pope be from Africa?No won
Will the next Pope be from Europe?No won
Will the next Pope be from North America?Yes won
Will the next Pope be from Oceania?No won
Will the next Pope be from South America?No won
Will there not be a new Pope in 2025?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the next Pope be from Asia?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event