TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x805a…0635

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
739
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: AI, grading 71 out of 100 (+0.19 per pick).

Best Category AI at 71 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT15932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 159 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.88
Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Lance Stroll finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.19
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,365.8
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,578Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$4,862.16
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$611.84
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,527Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$509.59
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$923Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.25
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$40.54
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.25
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$737.08
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.65
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$642.14
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.73
Who will finish higher: Bortoleto or Hulkenberg?backed Bortoleto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$506.03
Who will finish higher: Colapinto or Gasly?backed Colapinto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.7
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.15
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+369.4%+$3,787.73
Showing 25 of 159 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST14218.3%26 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+124.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 142 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28.01
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.88
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.47
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$156.88
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will Elon tweet between 300 and 319 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.01
Will Elon tweet between 400 and 419 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 439 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon tweet between 360 and 379 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.04
Will Elon tweet between 340 and 359 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.66
Will Elon tweet between 320 and 339 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.45
Will Elon tweet between 380 and 399 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.26
Will Elon tweet between 690 and 719 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon tweet between 720 and 749 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.36
Will Elon tweet between 600 and 629 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.88
Will Elon tweet between 630 and 659 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will Elon tweet between 570 and 599 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.06
Will Elon tweet between 660 and 689 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.04
Showing 25 of 142 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT9037.8%34 W · 56 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.1
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.18
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.36
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.34
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.64
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.48
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20,705Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$7,055.34
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$255.89
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,376.89
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026.76
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win less than 10% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win less than 12% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
Will António José Seguro win less than 12% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.86
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$496.11
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will CDA win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+587.4%+$81.19
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: GL-PvdA vs CDAbacked CDA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.88
Will Piráti get between 8% and 11% of the vote in the Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Piráti get between 11% and 14% of the vote in the Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$127.58
Will Piráti get more than 14% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.59
Will Motoristé get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.45
Will Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+209.1%+$65.99
Will Motoristé get between 3% and 5% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.33
Will Motoristé get more than 9% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT6150.8%31 W · 30 L+16.6wins+0.27per pick24cpaid+158.1%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
AI — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.05
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,109.08
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+669.2%+$114.3
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$750.91
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+150%+$216.17
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+356.9%+$398.13
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+652.6%+$4,602.58
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$56.18
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,648Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+87.3%+$2,312.09
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$180.9
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$78.79
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+143.1%+$64.75
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.69
Will UpScrolled be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+525%+$141.88
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$56.08
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,251.97
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$84.81
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$749.52
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+733.3%+$880
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$77.7
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$509.24
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$382.2
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+291.1%+$1,087.26
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,007.2%+$1,041.95
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.24
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST5532.7%18 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+66.7%+$59.84
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+89.5%+$161.23
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+104%+$84.1
Will "Conclave" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$27.08
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,716Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+139%+$6,557.03
Will Karla Sofía Gascón win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+105.8%+$1,209.3
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$88.86
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.76
Will "The Wild Robot" win Best Original Score at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$820.04
Will "Anuja" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will "The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+100%+$56.5
Will "A Lien" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$135.28
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Visual Effects at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$130.44
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$48.55
Will "No Other Land" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.82
Will "Wicked" win Best Production Design at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will "Conclave" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10.88
Will "The Wild Robot" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+198.5%+$66.5
Will "Flow" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+233.3%+$34.07
Will "Yuck!" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28.46
Will "Wander to Wonder" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Adrien Brody win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "The Brutalist"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+129.6%+$662.12
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4729.8%14 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+825.9%+$2,230
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+152.1%+$361.81
World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.8
World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$865
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.5
Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.41
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.92
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.32
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.3
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.78
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.65
World Cup: Scoreless Team?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Will Belgium be the highest-scoring team in Group G during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.35
Will Egypt be the highest-scoring team in Group G during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$209.45
Will Spain be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.63
Will France go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.69
Will USA be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+148%+$227.5
Will Australia be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Will Germany be the highest-scoring team in Group E during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$306.04
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.3
Will Brazil be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.06
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,566Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$780.59
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+129.3%+$184.99
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$3,133.35
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$606.14
Will Audra McDonald win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will "Oh, Mary!" win the Tony for Best Play 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+144.4%+$551.3
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.15
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.67
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$58.33
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.82
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.72
Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$279.3
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$244.88
Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.03
Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.85
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.95
Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$100
Will "El Mal" win Best Original Song at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.25
Will "The Journey" win Best Original Song at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.09
Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$62.5
Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.27
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70.51
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52.31
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+64.4%+$117.57
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$42.2
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+225.5%+$103.92
Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.61
Will Brad Lander finish third in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.63
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.1
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+89.8%+$304.07
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$335.57
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.3
Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.41
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.57
Will Trump pardon 1,000-1,249 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,132.15
Will Trump pardon 1,250-1,499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+266.8%+$251.91
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+126.8%+$74.36
Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+60%+$732.87
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.63
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+76.4%+$43.3
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+36.8%+$36.84
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$22
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$146.25
Will Inter Miami CF beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.75
Will Al Ahly beat Inter Miami CF?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$41.61
Champions League Final: Red card issued?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Marko Arnautović score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Will Désiré Doué score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.5
Will Juventus advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$59.29
Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+120.3%+$425.01
Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$176.04
Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$82.19
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+50%+$25
Will Sporting CP advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$42
Will Benfica advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+156.4%+$39.65
Will AS Monaco advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Club Brugge advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$99.5
Will Atalanta advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$274.81
Will Bayern Munich advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$172.26
Will Feyenoord advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Will VfB Stuttgart advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.92
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$15.05
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.84
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,625.65
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,996.75
March Madness: Team from the ACC to win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+37%+$10
Will Auburn make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Will Houston make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.5
Will Alabama make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$245.93
Will Duke make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Will Florida make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will Gonzaga win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will St. John's make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$9.78
All 12 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick6cpaid+470.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 4+ knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+1,949.1%+$218.85
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27.34
Will Anthony Joshua win via Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$74.31
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$46.81
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+2,123.9%+$682.58
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.01
Will the fight end in Round 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$80.2
Will the fight end in Round 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+1,901.7%+$1,900.04
Will the fight end in Round 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45.33
Will the fight end in Round 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$87.5
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$14
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Slovakia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+152.6%+$15.59
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,965.01
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+810.5%+$210.03
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$68.65
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$242.19
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39.7
Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$48.52
Will Latvia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$116.09
Will Denmark win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$68.3
Women's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on February 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.89
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.45
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50°F and 51°F on January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,714Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+155.4%+$2,664.52
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44°F and 45°F on January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+595.7%+$137
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 30-31°F on January 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$72.46
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 28-29°F on January 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$77.28
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on January 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$32.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-47.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick25cpaid+175.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+88%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Almeida vs. Alhassanbacked Alhassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30.79
Curtis vs. Kopylovbacked Curtis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Rodriguez vs. Bashibacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+185.7%+$71.41
Soriano vs. Medicbacked Soriano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+177.8%+$70.39
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+205.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+605.6%+$2,542.36
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+110.7%+$246.91
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$202.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Trump sanction Russia before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,885.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$53.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$292.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it take Jerry between 1000-1499 strokes to hit a Hole in One?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.