TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Brewers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brewersof Mets, Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$467,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$484,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,136 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 515 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Brewers51c277,540$142,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,693.2412043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Mets49c90,150$44,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,304.5538751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Mets49c73,166$35,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,625.6922852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Mets49c60,000$29,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,40055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Mets49c24,686$12,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,096.3123455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets48c24,604$11,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,750.961,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37be…c646backed Mets57c15,745$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,900.16450%32 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Mets47c10,792$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,119.6354345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Brewers52c9,694$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,694.3528646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets48c9,500$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,559.981,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Brewers53c9,349$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.236047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Brewers40c6,224$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,736.579,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mets44c5,035$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.061,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Brewers51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4506845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets49c4,953$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.9735952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Mets41c4,878$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00033554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers52c4,808$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.6922948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Brewers52c4,808$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.6924154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Brewers51c4,080$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.0939041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Mets51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets47c3,561$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.952,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers24c3,367$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.2495930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Mets48c3,330$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.41,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets48c3,326$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.7288549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df7…baefbacked Brewers53c3,042$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.166144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Mets43c2,573$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.3431248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Brewers54c2,240$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9313553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Brewers64c2,213$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.6134550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Brewers51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Mets48c1,900$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91214446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Mets49c1,659$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.8520850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Mets48c1,516$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.5344456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Mets45c1,475$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.829151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets48c1,388$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.741,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Brewers52c1,368$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.4633845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers39c1,216$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.5418837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Brewers63c1,197$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.3718155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.4722546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Mets48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1628042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Brewers24c1,012$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.3738444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Brewers51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49024248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Brewers50c999.6$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.821656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers27c898.09$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.752,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mets51c848$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.2612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Mets49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Brewers25c800$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.259447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Brewers55c799.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36016947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc4…63febacked Brewers51c696$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.04785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+58.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Mets77c683.97$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.7268769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf02c…2cf8backed Brewers53c681.77$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.432454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Mets49c679.59$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33316654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d21…d7cdbacked Mets49c678.22$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.33714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets47c674.53$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7773352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers13c661.54$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.5466645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Mets48c661$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.721,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Brewers53c604.5$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.566550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Mets49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29431347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Mets48c574.98$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9939056.9%222 W · 168 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Mets53c561.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Mets68c509.48$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4619452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Mets44c503.26$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.998042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.4642452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Brewers52c486.35$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4524253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Brewers55c469.16$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.7563052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Brewers45c448.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.7253448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed Mets45c443.78$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.173636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Brewers30c440.89$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.673149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Brewers58c408.34$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.568944.9%40 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Brewers26c405$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.723545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954b…ad5ebacked Brewers25c400.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.282321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Mets48c395.84$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Mets45c387.66$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4551347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers53c376$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.721,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Mets47c371.92$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.089550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe898…769fbacked Brewers24c339.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.642240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Mets46c335$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2525454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Mets49c325$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2517946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Mets48c315$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.21,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Mets49c310$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.916651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb68c…eda5backed Mets50c300.24$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1492321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mets46c300.14$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.181,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14183248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Mets47c299.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9930850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Brewers52c290.86$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6170946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3770…88a6backed Brewers26c288.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.433740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Brewers49c286.24$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.241,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Brewers53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0225551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Brewers18c270$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.121246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers26c268$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.321,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Brewers49c257.12$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1341346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Brewers51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.524951.8%129 W · 120 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Brewers37c247.3$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.312248.4%59 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers35c241.46$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.844,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Brewers58c240.09$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0923060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7380…8c1bbacked Brewers51c233.05$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Brewers36c223.61$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6114649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Mets64c211.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7932754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Mets48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.