TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x108d…508a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
286
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT4938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.46
Over $60M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Over $50M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.01
Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$64.62
Over $27.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$58.22
Over $20M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$73.36
Over $15M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$4.44
Over $10M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.9
Over $6M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.52
Over $5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.11
Over $4M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$28.86
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.6
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$41.35
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$10.67
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$7.91
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$104.19
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$18.2
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,289.36
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.8%+$193
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$474.33
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$64.55
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$174.6
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Yankees vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Tigers vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
White Sox vs. Royalsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rangers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Marlins vs. Red Soxbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Tigers vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Nationals vs. Royalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+154.3%+$154.26
Rays vs. Marinersbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rockies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Phillies vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mets vs. Brewersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Royals vs. Red Soxbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Blue Jays vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Orioles vs. Philliesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
Brewers vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mets vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Braves vs. Rangersbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-62.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$8.68
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+211.2%+$497.89
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$179.94
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.19
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$380.26
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,116.84
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$124.5
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$184.76
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$204.22
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Avatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21.98
Will "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 57m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+85.2%+$253.1
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$549.34
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $115-125m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.58
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.66
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.77
"The Fantastic Four: First Steps" Rotten Tomatoes score 90+%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.52
Will "I Know What You Did Last Summer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $14-16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+130.5%+$1,471.79
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$549
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $150m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.23
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $117m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.81
All 24 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-88.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 29-January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$124.57
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$261.19
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$776.11
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.86
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$908.23
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.49
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.04
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$173.22
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.51
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95.42
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$559.66
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,663.29
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$59.24
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.1
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.38
Will Solana reach $220 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$302
Will Solana reach $230 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$274
Will Solana reach $250 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.7
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+168.8%+$67.53
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2025%5 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Obama federally charged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$110.51
Will the U.S. House of Representatives session be announced by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$132.78
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.34
Will Elon register the America Party before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$877
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+900%+$360
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+281.2%+$128.89
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.6
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$411
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+571.7%+$228.67
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+28%+$48.65
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$22.45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.24
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$203.99
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$656.31
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+29.1%+$255.46
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Israel strikes Iran before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.16
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,905.98
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,631.77
US strikes Yemen before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.4
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,967.98
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$68.5
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,740.66
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.14
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.35
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.64
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$43.48
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 36% and 38%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$41.11
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 38% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 34% and 36%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$92.83
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+1,164.4%+$607.85
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$47.48
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$42.92
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$31.95
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,873.46
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35.11
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,379.9
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$34.4
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$58
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.18
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$211.05
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200.77
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+61.4%+$125.93
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+194.1%+$422.75
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+33.3%+$55
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$537.88
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+194.1%+$388.24
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$538.16
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+122.2%+$110
LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+37%+$54
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,382Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+57.7%+$796.94
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$139.42
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$400.27
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+229.7%+$137.85
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 16 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it rain during the Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$287.8
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$813.18
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$290.88
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$112.31
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.96
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.91
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+534%+$198.64
F1 Canadian Grand Prix: Safety Car? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$117.11
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$57.85
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$31.06
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$247
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$489.52
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.67
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$479.35
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.89
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$309.46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$162.97
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$256.71
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$367.87
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.36
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.9
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.88
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.06
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-74.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-70.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$99.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.