TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diamondbacksof Rockies, Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$582,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$575,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,530 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Rockies29c511,993$148,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,380.8812043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Diamondbacks71c332,150$235,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,323.522852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks71c85,498$60,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,639.3760249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Diamondbacks71c45,589$32,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,220.8135952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Diamondbacks71c21,807$15,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,324.1655053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Diamondbacks71c11,730$8,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,401.723545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Diamondbacks71c10,000$7,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.9912655.6%70 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies28c7,790$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.4256451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies28c7,500$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks71c5,881$4,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.152,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…e0aebacked Diamondbacks73c5,699$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.631770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Rockies31c5,163$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.3833845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks71c4,444$3,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.761,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Rockies27c4,122$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.0254051.1%276 W · 264 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks70c4,031$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.31,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Diamondbacks71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks77c3,697$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.6954345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies23c3,487$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockies28c2,800$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78443654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies2c2,488$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Diamondbacks71c2,223$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.545248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rockies27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Rockies26c1,816$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6238751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Diamondbacks71c1,782$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.8434245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Rockies29c1,765$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.331,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks69c1,756$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.349,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Rockies30c1,745$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.495850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Rockies30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.128042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed Rockies3c1,542$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4912924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Diamondbacks71c1,241$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.813553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Rockies29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2905743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Rockies1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Diamondbacks76c986.68$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.1338444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Rockies23c978.54$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8618837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies30c837.51$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.2543247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rockies31c819.35$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies29c689$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.811,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Diamondbacks71c660$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.46347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24b…2775backed Diamondbacks70c625.24$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.572673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks77c572.62$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.680680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4388549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Diamondbacks70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15021656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies28c392.79$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9851347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks80c376.59$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.156,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Diamondbacks70c358.57$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5766645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Rockies29c358$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.499447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb68c…eda5backed Rockies31c345.16$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1072321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rockies22c339.64$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7773149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rockies30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.940548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Rockies28c330.74$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6111150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Rockies31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks73c317$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5934051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rockies29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rockies29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8783248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Diamondbacks69c299.99$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9330850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks69c290$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.92,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Rockies22c280.3$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6710527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies23c239$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9745749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks68c199.89$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8941747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0912…9a36backed Diamondbacks72c194.44$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies31c185.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.662,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Diamondbacks67c181.06$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7511449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6e…ee31backed Rockies28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Rockies30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4566751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Rockies32c149.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Diamondbacks70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861,39655.2%770 W · 626 L-28.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…f9bebacked Diamondbacks71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c4…4493backed Rockies22c140$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.817850%89 W · 89 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Diamondbacks72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc655…8467backed Rockies30c133$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.924351.4%125 W · 118 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Rockies29c130.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1446631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Diamondbacks80c120$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2432754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Rockies31c113.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3557545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rockies24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rockies15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rockies28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec0…40dabacked Rockies16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164126.8%11 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ac…091ebacked Diamondbacks69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks71c91$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.392,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Diamondbacks80c86.01$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2641751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks77c83.38$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.991,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x107a…4bc4backed Rockies19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152853.6%15 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+29.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaa49…7e78backed Rockies33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ff…3fbebacked Rockies28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276f…7e5fbacked Diamondbacks68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abc…07b0backed Rockies28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Diamondbacks70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4325551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockies29c71.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.638,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8a23backed Rockies33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a1…b738backed Diamondbacks68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Rockies31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks68c63.38$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.134,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Rockies29c59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.111,14146.3%528 W · 613 L+36.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c67…13d1backed Diamondbacks72c52.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.582657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d3…127cbacked Rockies28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Rockies30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542651.2%218 W · 208 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Rockies31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510541%43 W · 62 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf92…d080backed Rockies28c46.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.