TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe9c…f9be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT3759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.65
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.53
Yankees vs. Red Sox Series Winnerbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Cubs vs. Padres Series Winnerbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+159%+$68.12
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$56.46
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Reds vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.52
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Twins vs. White Soxbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$23.57
Royals vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+79.7%+$99.82
Cubs vs. Angelsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$42.67
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Cardinals vs. Raysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$53.08
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.33
Rangers vs. Royalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.42
Panthers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Cowboys vs. Bearsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.71
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.14
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$15.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$10.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.