MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8f1aad9c2059919bd5c58fc630c777e5a6b0b8b84fc6dfc08eaa89383c2896a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Nationals, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,592,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,573,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,592,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 31c | 1,021,620$316,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316,702.29 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 69c | 546,171$376,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,315.19 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Phillies | 70c | 327,446$229,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,233.89 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Nationals | 30c | 160,062$48,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,081.13 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Nationals | 30c | 152,151$45,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,645.28 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 69c | 97,307$67,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,165.04 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 31c | 29,729$9,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,215.98 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Phillies | 69c | 22,750$15,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,052.5 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 69c | 21,284$14,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,607.46 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 69c | 16,941$11,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,254.04 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Nationals | 34c | 12,352$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.98 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 36c | 10,216$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.43 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 68c | 9,705$6,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.56 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Phillies | 64c | 8,568$5,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.56 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 69c | 8,308$5,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.6 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 72c | 7,164$5,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.66 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Nationals | 30c | 5,040$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 69c | 4,888$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nationals | 31c | 4,358$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.86 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Nationals | 32c | 3,805$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.46 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 69c | 3,265$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.15 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Phillies | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 72c | 2,960$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.97 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Phillies | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Phillies | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Phillies | 70c | 2,113$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.9 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 67c | 1,861$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.95 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 64c | 1,837$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.11 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 32c | 1,559$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.93 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nationals | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Nationals | 31c | 1,364$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.8 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 31c | 1,300$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 31c | 1,231$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.61 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nationals | 32c | 1,219$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Nationals | 25c | 1,088$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Nationals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Phillies | 70c | 972.86$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.86 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 31c | 967$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.77 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 30c | 899.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 69c | 878.49$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.33 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nationals | 34c | 874.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Phillies | 70c | 824.99$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Phillies | 70c | 783.14$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.31 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Phillies | 69c | 702.9$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Nationals | 31c | 698.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.69 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Nationals | 31c | 674.19$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…b98ebacked Nationals | 5c | 562.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Phillies | 67c | 556.2$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.55 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 31c | 538$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.78 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Nationals | 31c | 519.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 2c | 505.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nationals | 21c | 502.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 30c | 488.63$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.59 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Phillies | 66c | 431.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 33c | 428.62$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Nationals | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 32c | 399.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 31c | 399.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 31c | 386$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Phillies | 68c | 334$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Phillies | 67c | 332$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 70c | 329.54$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nationals | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c04cbacked Phillies | 71c | 315.49$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…0783backed Nationals | 30c | 315.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nationals | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Phillies | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Phillies | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…7c8cbacked Phillies | 71c | 297.7$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1b…7b0ebacked Nationals | 30c | 297.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 34c | 296.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 68c | 292.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nationals | 31c | 271$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Nationals | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Phillies | 69c | 244.93$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Nationals | 33c | 242.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Nationals | 24c | 199.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nationals | 30c | 172.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Nationals | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 32c | 158$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 11c | 156.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…63b2backed Nationals | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 30c | 145$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Phillies | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Phillies | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…979abacked Phillies | 70c | 142.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Phillies | 69c | 135.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Nationals | 33c | 123.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Phillies | 68c | 116.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Phillies | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3f…4ceabacked Phillies | 70c | 102.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…631bbacked Nationals | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…6984backed Phillies | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…c48fbacked Nationals | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Philliesthis page
- Nationals vs. Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.