TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9599…be88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
354
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT25511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 255 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Angels vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Athletics vs. Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Guardians vs. Rangersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Twins vs. White Soxbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Guardians vs. Rangersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Rockies vs. Piratesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 255 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT5022%11 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$111
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$70.91
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.81
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$91
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.11
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.64
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.6
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+269.4%+$148.18
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT170%0 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Sun vs. Libertybacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Fever vs. Lynxbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Sun vs. Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Aces vs. Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Valkyries vs Mercurybacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Lynx vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Mercury vs Acesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Lynx vs Dreambacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Sky vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Wings vs Sparksbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mercury vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Storm vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.65
Mercury vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Fever vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Sun vs Valkyriesbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mystics vs Lynxbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+197.7%+$194.75
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.71
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+150%+$18
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.2
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-65.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Chiefs backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Eagles vs. Jets backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$7.06
Bengals vs. Commanders backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Browns vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Machado Garry vs. Pratesbacked Prates​ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.5
Amorim vs. Vianabacked Viana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.