TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Astros vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Astros, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7435…a620backed Tigers48c26,542$12,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,845.4228646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Astros52c17,053$8,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,867.561,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Astros51c16,705$8,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,519.4944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers49c4,773$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.2339041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Astros53c4,320$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,268.712247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Tigers49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6319649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers47c3,513$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86299149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Astros51c3,330$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.4211553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Tigers46c2,809$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.8934245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Tigers48c2,759$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.9138047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers48c2,570$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.392,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Astros52c2,115$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.821747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Astros53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9771751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Astros4c1,890$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.992,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Astros54c1,533$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.828258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Astros6c1,491$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6854345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers49c1,400$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71445248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…26f9backed Tigers46c1,304$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.16850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc8…e22fbacked Astros54c1,204$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Astros6c1,164$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.71,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros52c1,150$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59866645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fb…1d77backed Tigers46c1,115$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x270e…f2f3backed Astros54c1,107$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d0…2cc2backed Astros54c1,093$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.22616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd319…b3f9backed Tigers46c1,085$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Astros54c1,074$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9625454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Astros53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76cc…5e4ebacked Tigers48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Astros2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Astros54c985.28$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.059550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71b…38b4backed Tigers46c913$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Astros53c905.35$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.3580955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Tigers46c900$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48683248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Astros2c771.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.515053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98fe…9545backed Astros54c749$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Astros53c701.89$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37223248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Tigers47c640$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.257744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Tigers47c638$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.141,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers77c607.67$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.939,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30642452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Tigers49c584.05$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8754048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Astros51c576.96$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.259947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros54c575.85$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.161,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Astros52c570$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.426650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Astros54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa5…a0d7backed Astros54c555$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Tigers49c524.49$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.493240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Astros53c507$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.941,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Astros50c490.67$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9343949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Astros3c486.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.15862%12 W · 574 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Astros51c465.1$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Astros52c446$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9221656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Astros54c444.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.39947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Tigers46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7834550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Tigers46c400$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1365549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ed…82c6backed Astros6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410441.3%43 W · 61 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Tigers48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2083,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed Tigers46c392.59$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2125644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros53c377.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Astros54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006342.9%27 W · 36 L-9.9wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2d04…7102backed Astros54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa8b…23d2backed Astros53c341.85$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Astros53c299.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93d…36cabacked Tigers46c291$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.14475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+60.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Tigers48c215.45$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.031,05550.3%531 W · 524 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Astros48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros9c202.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.154,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Tigers48c202$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4779…211fbacked Tigers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e9…4ef4backed Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085056%28 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec14…afbbbacked Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2019…a6a9backed Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3236…8f9ebacked Tigers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd6…966cbacked Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c61…a273backed Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e48…c9cabacked Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc81…40c9backed Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…a9efbacked Tigers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8187…fbe2backed Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb290…27c5backed Tigers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…c850backed Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x28fe…620bbacked Tigers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1088353%44 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb340…6b02backed Tigers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f5…31d4backed Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d18…f551backed Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Tigers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40a0…a1c0backed Tigers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9459…e52bbacked Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087256.9%41 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe91a…5145backed Tigers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf15e…23e4backed Tigers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca66…c18bbacked Tigers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087853.8%42 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25c6…8325backed Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb90d…0082backed Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087656.6%43 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e97…f811backed Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6718…41babacked Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbae…23fdbacked Astros54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045f…bfe7backed Tigers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.