MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1ce56e04e52d646fa01878b1730801821e75a4fb2128134804865e2dcd7ef52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Athletics, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mariners | 63c | 308,292$193,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,277.23 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 37c | 102,753$38,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,018.64 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Athletics | 38c | 100,000$37,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,600 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 38c | 18,295$6,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,952.12 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 38c | 17,029$6,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,470.83 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mariners | 63c | 14,005$8,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.68 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 38c | 13,245$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.11 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Athletics | 37c | 12,813$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,734.9 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics | 36c | 11,078$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.36 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Athletics | 16c | 9,018$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.73 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Athletics | 37c | 8,866$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.42 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 37c | 6,958$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.51 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Athletics | 37c | 6,565$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Athletics | 39c | 5,030$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mariners | 75c | 4,715$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.85 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics | 38c | 4,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Mariners | 61c | 3,455$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.45 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 60c | 3,364$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.62 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Athletics | 37c | 3,300$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Athletics | 39c | 3,250$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.5 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Athletics | 35c | 3,187$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.86 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 38c | 2,764$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.32 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.06 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Athletics | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 63c | 2,418$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.55 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 37c | 2,160$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Mariners | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Athletics | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Athletics | 15c | 1,203$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics | 37c | 1,160$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.2 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Athletics | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 61c | 959$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.15 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Athletics | 39c | 946$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.94 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 39c | 899.83$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.88 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Athletics | 37c | 755.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Athletics | 38c | 680$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Athletics | 36c | 625.8$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.29 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Athletics | 39c | 543.9$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Athletics | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 37c | 509$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.33 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Athletics | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics | 38c | 469.31$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Athletics | 40c | 385$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Mariners | 61c | 350$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics | 39c | 331.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics | 38c | 283.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 63c | 279.36$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Athletics | 39c | 256.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 15c | 245.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Athletics | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletics | 39c | 210.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Athletics | 23c | 174.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Athletics | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mariners | 63c | 136$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Mariners | 78c | 134$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce43…a695backed Athletics | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…9b13backed Mariners | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 15c | 129.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mariners | 63c | 127$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Athletics | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Athletics | 22c | 124.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 39c | 124$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Athletics | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Mariners | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…7e19backed Athletics | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…999dbacked Mariners | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Mariners | 62c | 97.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Athletics | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Mariners | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Athletics | 37c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Mariners | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 18c | 77.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Athletics | 38c | 73.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 26c | 68.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 18c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…3157backed Mariners | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96f…aabbbacked Athletics | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mariners | 63c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Mariners | 66c | 55.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Athletics | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Athletics | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Athletics | 40c | 52.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d62…b83fbacked Mariners | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…5e57backed Athletics | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…401fbacked Mariners | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Mariners | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…0f46backed Athletics | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…a187backed Athletics | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Athletics | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Mariners | 61c | 33.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…9d5cbacked Athletics | 38c | 30.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…08a6backed Athletics | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…7505backed Athletics | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Marinersthis page
- Spread: Mariners (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.