TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7552…0f46

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT4757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$19.2
Athletics vs. Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.4
Royals vs. Tigersbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$19.25
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.1
Rangers vs. Royalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.2
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
White Sox vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Giants vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.8
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.6
White Sox vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
Rangers vs. Royalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.13
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$36.14
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$34.84
Broncos vs. Saints backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Bears vs. Chiefs backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Falcons vs. Cowboys backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Eagles vs. Jets backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.3
Steelers vs. Panthers backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Bengals vs. Commanders backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$9.25
Bills vs. Bears backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+69.1%+$14.3
Cardinals vs. Broncos backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$11.03
Dolphins vs. Lions backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Jaime Faria vs. Ugo Blanchetbacked Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
US Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Daniel Elahi Galanbacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$26.4
US Open: Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs. Billy Harrisbacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
ATP Winston Salem - Korda vs. Fucsovicsbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.5
US Open: Marco Trungelliti vs. Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Alcaraz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+98%+$14.85
ATP Cincinnati - Rublev vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
ATP Cincinnati - Atmane vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Leheckabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.05
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kansas (-13.5)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Spread: Kansas State (-3.5)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$20.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs Acesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.1
Lynx vs Dreambacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2025-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.