NFL · resolved market
Dolphins vs. Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3657a56ce3c1bf8fff7417246b7704df7dd6f99b1fce205c1cd07b465e2dfe6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dolphins of Dolphins , Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7c3…a26cbacked Lions | 41c | 28,097$11,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,648.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dolphins | 57c | 21,066$12,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,970.26 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lions | 4c | 8,482$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.53 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dolphins | 51c | 8,069$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.93 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70c…0dccbacked Lions | 52c | 6,094$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Dolphins | 48c | 5,452$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.89 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Lions | 50c | 2,896$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Lions | 56c | 2,531$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.12 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Dolphins | 48c | 2,210$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.34 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Lions | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dolphins | 50c | 1,942$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.1 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Dolphins | 50c | 1,110$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.55 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Lions | 61c | 882$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.9 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dolphins | 60c | 880$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.7 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Dolphins | 53c | 811.32$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Dolphins | 53c | 805.91$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.84 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Dolphins | 52c | 759.33$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195c…f698backed Lions | 49c | 759.18$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…7a36backed Lions | 50c | 704.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Dolphins | 51c | 700.06$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.13 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lions | 49c | 637$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.13 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lions | 52c | 600$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.37 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lions | 3c | 587$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lions | 56c | 527.07$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dolphins | 50c | 479.42$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.85 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…1282backed Lions | 48c | 426.41$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Lions | 49c | 404.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dolphins | 48c | 328.01$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.91 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Dolphins | 49c | 278.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.01 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Lions | 54c | 276.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Dolphins | 48c | 270.8$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.94 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Dolphins | 53c | 270$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Dolphins | 53c | 228$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Lions | 42c | 220$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Dolphins | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lions | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Lions | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lions | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Dolphins | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +164%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lions | 50c | 199.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Dolphins | 78c | 185.33$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lions | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…b512backed Lions | 39c | 151.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Lions | 50c | 150.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Dolphins | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Dolphins | 54c | 146.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Dolphins | 53c | 132.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dolphins | 51c | 118.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Dolphins | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Lions | 63c | 108.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeba8…dfa6backed Lions | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2777…66f1backed Dolphins | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5094…33aebacked Lions | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…7505backed Dolphins | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f9…1c8ebacked Dolphins | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa0…c8b0backed Lions | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Lions | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8617…e460backed Lions | 24c | 97.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Dolphins | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Dolphins | 52c | 91.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Lions | 66c | 90.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 148 | 60.8%90 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Dolphins | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Lions | 69c | 72.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Dolphins | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Lions | 48c | 60.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Lions | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Dolphins | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Dolphins | 62c | 54.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Lions | 57c | 53.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Lions | 76c | 52.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Lions | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…ebd8backed Lions | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Lions | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Dolphins | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…06cbbacked Lions | 57c | 44.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lions | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…0f46backed Dolphins | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Lions | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Lions | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Dolphins | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…db9dbacked Dolphins | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Dolphins | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…0ccebacked Lions | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Dolphins | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Lions | 52c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Dolphins | 52c | 26.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…c182backed Lions | 48c | 21.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Lions | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…e6babacked Dolphins | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Dolphins | 62c | 16.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.