TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f47…0043

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$173.8
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.79
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$27.5
Will Everton win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$25.2
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.04
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.33
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$47.49
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$223.46
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+81.8%+$100.66
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$102.78
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$90.13
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$120.18
Will Brentford win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$53.31
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+488.2%+$491.6
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+95.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+203%+$148.21
Will Osasuna win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+525%+$133.77
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$156.63
Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+201.6%+$201.59
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.97
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+168.6%+$168.55
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.61
Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.73
Will Alaves win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+642.9%+$321.43
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$67.99
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$81.19
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Athletics vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$72.4
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.6
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$84.73
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$222
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.72
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$56.13
Twins vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$27.48
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$29.69
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.8
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$12.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$125.46
Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Will Bolivia win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$52.79
Will Latvia win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Armenia win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will San Marino win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26.19
Will Estonia win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Armenia win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Moldova win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$70
Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.67
Will CA Huracán win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$222
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+612.6%+$336.93
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$84.44
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+50.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$33.11
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41.8
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+53%+$53.03
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$42.34
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Penguinsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100.1
Blues vs. Wildbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$38.11
Stars vs. Rangersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+60.3%+$60.32
Wild vs. Capitalsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$37.33
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Washington vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$49
North Carolina vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$102.22
New Mexico vs. UCLAbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.56
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$142
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$59.12
Fever vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$105.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.