NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Rangers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67380fb867a7f51b39772517c75430c725bb66f8ec3b80f0798280e9c81bb48f

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Starsof Stars, Rangers
Resolved: Jan 7, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,621 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rangers	38c	3,841$1,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,459.76	111	45.9%51 W · 60 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Rangers	37c	2,965$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.08	318	49.4%157 W · 161 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars	62c	2,851$1,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.52	866	49.9%432 W · 434 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Stars	62c	2,111$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.48	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f5…19dabacked Stars	63c	2,014$1,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.52	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4205…46a7backed Stars	62c	1,190$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.65	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars	61c	1,148$703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.52	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars	63c	1,000$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.63	851	48.5%413 W · 438 L	-48.2wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Stars	61c	1,000$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Rangers	39c	1,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Rangers	39c	976.95$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.01	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Rangers	38c	800$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	253	40.7%103 W · 150 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rangers	4c	760.4$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.57	745	0.7%5 W · 740 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-94.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Rangers	38c	719.54$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.67	355	45.4%161 W · 194 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers	39c	676.98$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.88	1,025	40.8%418 W · 607 L	+15.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Stars	62c	645.16$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.16	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars	53c	596.8$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.6	1,037	55%570 W · 467 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Rangers	38c	594.81$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.03	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Rangers	38c	593.1$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.95	313	34.8%109 W · 204 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8df…61aabacked Stars	33c	517.64$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.57	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars	61c	499.92$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.97	1,039	55.2%574 W · 465 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Rangers	52c	447.99$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.56	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Rangers	73c	444$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.94	170	54.7%93 W · 77 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Rangers	38c	419.68$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.48	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars	62c	358.06$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.06	237	61.6%146 W · 91 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Rangers	43c	357.9$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.26	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers	39c	350.78$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.04	1,475	48.3%712 W · 763 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars	19c	343.87$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.24	1,163	2.3%27 W · 1,136 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac9…c4b5backed Stars	62c	300$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	63cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0408…3049backed Rangers	38c	300$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.35per pick	40cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdd4…aa8abacked Stars	62c	241.94$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.94	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Stars	63c	239.21$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.21	98	61.2%60 W · 38 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rangers	38c	234.71$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.19	543	49.5%269 W · 274 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Rangers	80c	227.7$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.09	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Stars	62c	225.81$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.81	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-6.6wins	-0.14per pick	66cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Stars	35c	220.99$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.76	75	32%24 W · 51 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Rangers	48c	210.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	724	48.3%350 W · 374 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Stars	51c	204.63$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.87	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Rangers	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Rangers	38c	199.98$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.99	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Stars	54c	193.58$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.25	500	49.4%247 W · 253 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Rangers	38c	191.94$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.67	486	54.1%263 W · 223 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Rangers	39c	184.84$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.89	724	44.6%323 W · 401 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab00…d053backed Rangers	40c	179$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Stars	61c	163.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	135	62.2%84 W · 51 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f47…0043backed Stars	62c	160.32$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.32	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Stars	41c	150$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.5	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9860…ea56backed Stars	19c	149.18$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.84	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0964…d727backed Stars	60c	145.67$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.27	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	66cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Stars	55c	144.25$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.25	249	45.8%114 W · 135 L	-11.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers	40c	138.27$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.87	840	51.4%432 W · 408 L	+19.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Stars	61c	131.72$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.72	702	49%344 W · 358 L	+14.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Stars	61c	130.43$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.27	193	47.2%91 W · 102 L	-14.9wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Stars	52c	125.23$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.46	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Rangers	37c	124.06$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.9	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers	40c	123.88$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.55	928	48.5%450 W · 478 L	+17.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Stars	37c	112.35$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.58	913	34.1%311 W · 602 L	-27.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…81e2backed Stars	19c	105.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.26	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e79…a15abacked Rangers	63c	104.42$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.02	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Stars	67c	103.48$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.15	69	56.5%39 W · 30 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3098…f886backed Rangers	39c	102.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-38%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…281fbacked Rangers	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Stars	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	818	46%376 W · 442 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x04ed…00f0backed Rangers	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdbe…371abacked Stars	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Stars	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	301	55.1%166 W · 135 L	+17.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x268e…209fbacked Stars	61c	99.49$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x266f…eedbbacked Rangers	40c	98.6$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x828d…e57fbacked Rangers	39c	96.15$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbb…2ebdbacked Stars	63c	95.24$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	66cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Rangers	36c	94.94$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.18	298	47%140 W · 158 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Stars	19c	92.7$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.09	182	37.9%69 W · 113 L	+29.4wins	+0.16per pick	22cpaid	+202.9%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Rangers	40c	86.25$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	340	32.4%110 W · 230 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…d0d5backed Stars	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-7.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7bc0…8e5abacked Stars	62c	82.26$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.26	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36a7…e610backed Rangers	39c	82.05$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Stars	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	198	52.5%104 W · 94 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Stars	62c	80.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.65	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc128…86dabacked Stars	62c	80.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.65	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff9…a266backed Rangers	40c	80.63$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.92	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c97…2233backed Stars	61c	78.11$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.46	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b0…9755backed Rangers	38c	70$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Rangers	40c	62.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	190	57.9%110 W · 80 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74c1…ad2ebacked Rangers	38c	61$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rangers	38c	58$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.04	792	51.1%405 W · 387 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Rangers	38c	58$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.04	418	51.4%215 W · 203 L	+14.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf370…aff1backed Stars	63c	52.63$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.47	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+101.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79b1…8be4backed Rangers	38c	52.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f51…2019backed Rangers	39c	51.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.09	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b6…27ddbacked Rangers	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	34%18 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4341…6451backed Rangers	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Stars	43c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	731	57.5%420 W · 311 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf934…9f73backed Stars	43c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1e…7ba5backed Stars	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f6…3a1dbacked Rangers	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.39per pick	56cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Stars	62c	48.39$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f0…82b6backed Stars	62c	48$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.24	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Stars	43c	46.98$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.98	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf19e…461abacked Stars	60c	44.72$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.89	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Rangers	74c	44$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.67	149	49.7%74 W · 75 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Stars vs. Rangers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market