TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b69…e32a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
481
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT17464.9%113 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 174 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.3
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+70.7%+$32.3
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.62
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+64.2%+$7.82
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+80.5%+$22.3
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+64.8%+$11.8
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.01
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$12.96
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.03
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$6.17
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.68
Showing 25 of 174 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT9150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+102.4%+$12.65
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$32.85
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Arsenal vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Southampton win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will Liverpool vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$6
Will Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$19.8
Will Everton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$38.75
Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$31
Will Bournemouth vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.49
Will Leicester vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Fulham win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Ipswich vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT7651.3%39 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$19.91
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+77.9%+$21.9
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.41
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.97
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.8
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$26.6
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.21
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$12
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.89
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT3432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+68.8%+$27.3
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.16
Trump executive order ending Department of Education by Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+150%+$29.99
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.45
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+116.5%+$161.12
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+47.4%+$96.5
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+105.1%+$196.71
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$42.37
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$82.84
Will Donald Trump issue 31-33 executive orders in his first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.56
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+35.6%+$52.5
Will Trump sign 0 executive orders on January 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.87
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+150%+$88.8
Will Trump say "MAGA" during the announcement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+400%+$40
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during the announcement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+400%+$40
Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Eric Adams attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$152.84
Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$176
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+49.7%+$331.9
Will Trump nominate Sid Miller for Agriculture Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$144
Will Trump nominate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. for Agriculture Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$50.05
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2025, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-29.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$16.18
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+106.2%+$41.2
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+189.9%+$131
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump post 140-149 times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.9
Will Trump post 130-139 times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will Trump post 120-129 times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Trump post 110-119 times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Trump post 100-109 times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Trump post 90-99 times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$33.5
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+92.8%+$48.19
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+47.1%+$64
Will Kanye tweet 80-99 times on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,203.02
Will POTUS tweet 10-14 times Jan 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+100%+$64.47
Will POTUS tweet 15-19 times Jan 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$61.67
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$110.68
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35.06
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+25%+$40
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+277.4%+$147
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$62.86
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$34
All 25 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$130
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will Trump say "Medical" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$40
Will the New Democratic Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Will the Liberal Party win the Yukon seat in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Donald Trump say Beautiful 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$126.02
Will Donald Trump say Putin 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17.87
Will Trudeau resign Today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Will the Liberal Reform Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+55.7%+$52.58
Will the Social Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$57
Will South Korean President lift martial law by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+40.8%+$58
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.34
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Lille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Club Brugge vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will the match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Stade Brestois end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Stade Brestois beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will RB Leipzig beat Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Sporting CP beat RB Leipzig?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$43.14
Will the match between RB Leipzig and Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Club Brugge beat Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+426.3%+$162
Will RB Leipzig beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$28
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$115
North Texas vs. Texas Statebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Duke vs. Ole Missbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$131
South Carolina vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+334.8%+$167.4
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+566.7%+$566.89
East Carolina vs. NC Statebacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+78.6%+$264
Texas Tech vs. Arkansasbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$28.5
Arkansas State vs. Bowling Greenbacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+85.2%+$18.4
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$243.09
Navy vs. Armybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+37.3%+$8.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2024, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+53.8%+$35
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$60
Colts vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+49.3%+$33
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+25%+$20
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+50.4%+$134
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$37
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+25%+$10
Panthers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+33.5%+$27.76
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$29
Patriots vs. Dolphinsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$50.6
Titans vs. Texansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+354.5%+$195
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rajasthan Royals vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
ICC Champions Trophy Final: India vs. New Zealandbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greece beat Finland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+101.9%+$102.45
Will the match between Finland and Greece end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$46.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+86.2%+$432.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+61.1%+$113.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.